Labour contest number-crunched
I am not going to pretend that they do not make grim reading for supporters of David Miliband, who trails his brother (right) by the statistically insignificant but psychologically important margin of two points on the projected final count, 49 to 51 per cent.
One small point, however. YouGov’s figures suggest that 34 per cent of eligible trade unionists have already voted, with a further 40 per cent saying that they “will definitely vote”. These figures compare with the 8 per cent who actually voted in the 2007 deputy leadership election (which Harriet Harman won by the even smaller margin of 50.4 to 49.6 per cent), and with the 19.5 per cent who voted in the last leadership election in 1994.
I have no idea what explains that difference, or whether the explanation favours either of the leading candidates. But it ought to sound a note of caution.
Photograph: Teri PengilleyTagged in: labour leadership
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