Isn’t David Cameron doing well?
Catch-Up Service, as the Prime Minister takes his turn at the seaside: The most interesting thing about that YouGov poll for The Sun and The Sunday Times on 6 August, on Boris Johnson as an alternative prime minister, was how much of an asset David Cameron still is to his party.
The findings were summarised by Peter Kellner thus:
Standard voting question: Lab 44% Con 32% Lib Dem 10%
Voting question with leaders’ names: Lab 40% Con 34% Lib Dem 10%
Voting question with Boris instead of Dave: Lab 38% Con 37% Lib Dem 10%
So, reminding respondents that Labour is led by Ed Miliband and the Conservatives by David Cameron halves Labour’s lead from 12 to 6 points. Asking them how they would vote if Boris Johnson led the Tories and Ed Miliband led Labour cuts it further to 1 point.
But Boris is a hypothetical question, and voters are notoriously poor at predicting how they would behave if different things happened, whereas Cameron versus Miliband is a real question. More than that, reminding voters of the leaders might mimic the effect of our leader-focused election campaigns.
In which case, given the poor press the Prime Minister has had over the summer, cutting the Labour lead by 6 points is quite a significant difference.
It is also worth noting the answers to the question, “How well suited, if at all, would you say the following politicians are to being prime minister?”
Tagged in: boris johnson, david cameron, ed miliband, opinion polls, yougov
Cameron: well suited 46% not well suited 46%
Miliband: well suited 31% not well suited 59%
Johnson: well suited 24% not well suited 65%
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