iBet: Tranmere could be set for giant killing at frustrated Villa

Capital One Cup

Aston Villa v Tranmere, kick off 7.45pm

Back Tranmere getting +1.5 goals on the Asian Handicap

Lay over 4.5 goals at 4.2 to one with Betfair

Paul Lambert has got a massive job on his hands to turn the Midlanders around and he surely needs to talk Randy Lerner into opening up his cheque book this week to get some quality into Villa’s forward line and some experience into a very youthful looking set-up. Injuries are already not being kind to him, with midfielder Gary Gardner now out to a season-ending injury and key forwards Gaby Agbonlahor and Marc Albrighton crocked as well. They need a confidence-boosting victory and Lambert will be tempted to play several first team players here. However, Villa have no cutting edge and incredibly have not won by two or more goals at home against anyone of note since October 2011. No wonder the home crowd is frustrated and there is every chance here of more of the same again. Tranmere are of course two divisions below Villa but in contrast they are high on confidence following two wins and a draw from their first three games to put them joint top. They have scored seven times, may well play at full strength, and will be really fancying their chance of a giant killing. There will certainly be worse 7-1 shots this year than Tranmere to win at Villa, but the value is betting on them not to lose by two or more goals. It’s also hard to see a goal-fest.

Advices

Injuries to Sergio Aguero and Wayne Rooney have shaken up the Premier League Golden Boot betting. Fernando Torres is now the 6-1 jolly (generally available), with BetVictor offering a stand-out 9-1 about Carlos Tevez. You can now get 15.5/1 about Aguero and 19-1 about Rooney on Betfair. BetVictor are also best about Michu (66-1) and Petric 66-1 (each way terms are one quarter of the odds for the top four).

Betfair gives you better value. To see how much more you can win go to www.betfair.com/betchecker

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