iBet: Sunderland may stop the Swansea goal machine
Swansea v Sunderland, kick off 3pm
Lay over 3.5 goals at 3.2 to one with Betfair
It might seem pretty bizarre to be betting against goals in a game involving Swansea – a team that has come flying out the traps under new manager Michael Laudrup and which has already racked up eight goals in just two games. But there may be value in going against the flow. For a start Swansea’s conversation rate has been astonishing. They have only had 11 shots on target this season, and eight of them have gone in. That can’t last. Their first game, a 5-0 away win against QPR, was a crazy, wide-open affair while the game against West Ham was pretty turgid until two basic errors by the Hammers’ keeper and defensive line handed The Swans a 2-0 lead. And today they play a team that they failed to score against last season, and more importantly which has failed to score themselves in six of their last eight Premier League matches. Manager Martin O’Neill is nobody’s fool – he knows full well that his team is struggling to create chances. They had only two shots on target in their only Premier League game this season, a 0-0 draw with Arsenal, and they also only scored one goal in four friendlies before the season started. Sunderland haven’t won any of their last eight on the road and O’Neill will surely look to keep things tight. At the price I’m prepared to take the chance that there won’t be four goals.
A survey of football fans’ betting activity over the first three months of last season by Betfair has shown the Arsenal fans bet the most, and that Newcastle fans are the most loyal in terms of backing their own team.
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