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iBet: Expect Montenegro to hammer San Marino

Gareth Purnell

Montenegro vs San Marino, World Cup Qualifying, Group H, kick-off 5pm

Back Montenegro starting minus 4 on the handicap at 18/19 with BWin
Back both teams to score in Holland V Germany at 4/7

San Marino haven’t scored a goal in a competitive fixture since the old king died, and it’s more of the same this time around with three qualifiers played, none scored and 13 conceded.

An indication of how this fixture might turn out comes from their match-up on September 11th when Montenegro scored in the 25th, 26th, 52nd, 69th, 78th and 82nd minutes for a 6-0 victory, in San Marino. The home side had only one shot on target in that game and England’s game against San Marino was ridiculously one-sided as well. England had 86% of the possession and won the corner count 17-0, as well as having 33 shots to San Marino’s one. Moldova battered them as well.

San Marino held out until the 78th minute in that game before losing 2-0, but Moldova had 84% of the possession and San Marino failed to win a corner. Montenegro are of course at un-backable odds to win – in fact you can get 58/1 on Betfair against the San Marino even getting a draw tonight in Montenegro. If they can break through earlier than England did at Wembley in their 5-0 victory (it took until the 35th minute) the home side could run up a big score. Oddschecker.com shows BWin offering the best price of just under even money about the Montenegro winning the -4 handicap and that looks a bet.

Advices

Holland versus Germany is one of the classic fixtures. They have met eight times in competitive fixtures and both teams have scored every time. Although this is a friendly tonight (kick off 7.30pm), there’s really no such thing with this match-up, and history says the 4/7 on offer about that happening again is too big a price. It’s 4/6 that there are at least three goals.

Betfair gives you better value. To see how much more you can win go towww.betfair.com/betchecker

betfair6306 300x65 iBet: Expect Montenegro to hammer San Marino

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