The 13 MPs to watch in 2013
One last list for 2012, from my article in The Independent on Sunday yesterday. I chose the 12 MPs of the 2010 intake who might be future prime ministers, six Labour and six Conservative, plus one Liberal Democrat who might be deputy prime minister, using a complex algorithm, the precise formula for which is a secret.
Luciana Berger, 31; Gloria De Piero, 39; Michael Dugher, 37; Rachel Reeves, 33; Jonathan Reynolds, 32; and Chuka Umunna, 34.
Sam Gyimah, 36; Matthew Hancock, 34; Jo Johnson, 40; Kwasi Kwarteng, 37; Dan Poulter, 34; and Anna Soubry, 56.
Duncan Hames, 35.
One of the factors of the secret formula, which I did not mention in the article, is “the inner urge to get to the highest place”, as Sylvia Littlejohns called it. She had been Anthony Crosland’s secretary before she was Tony Blair’s, in 1983-89.
Almost all MPs are ambitious. Most of them wanted at some stage to be prime minister, but it is the discipline and madness of that urge that is perhaps the most important determinant of success, apart from a plausible manner on television.
As Blair showed, though, that inner urge could be well concealed a lot of the time, so in many of the cases above I admit I am guessing.
Update: I had a disastrous moment of indecision over one additional name. I think Sajid Javid, 43, is impressive. Son of a Rochdale bus driver. Deutsche Bank director. Economic Secretary to the Treasury. But I’m not sure about the career in banking, or the TV test, and in the end Kwarteng came out just ahead.Tagged in: futurology
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