iBet: History suggests England v Brazil could be low scoring
England v Brazil, kick off 7.30pm
Back under 2.5 goals at 5/6 or lay over 3.5 goals at 2.8 to one with Betfair
England have played Brazil 23 times in all competitions, winning only three of them and drawing nine times. They have actually taken on the five-time World Cup winners on more occasions in friendlies (13) than in competitive fixtures (10), winning three, drawing six times and losing four. It’s interesting to note that England (9/4 to win this) have actually never beaten Brazil (7/5) in a competitive fixture. Matches between the two teams do tend to be very tight though. They have played each other 16 times since the start of the 1970s, and only two of those matches have produced more than two goals. Those stats suggest it’s long odds on that the game will produce two goals or fewer, yet you can get 4/5 about there being less than three goals here, and that looks worth taking. Friendlies are not serious betting mediums. But win or lose, history tells us the price is wrong and that we have to back the ‘unders’.
Betting comparison website Oddschecker reports that in the First Goalscorer market Neymar is the most popular bet at 5/1, followed by Danny Welbeck at 8/1 and ‘no goalscorer’ at 10/1. The price for it to be a draw at half time and full time is 4/1.
Betfair gives you better value. To see how much more you can win go to www.betfair.com/betchecker
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