ComRes: Labour lead only 5 points

John Rentoul
edmiliband 225x300 ComRes: Labour lead only 5 points

Picture credit: Reuters

The Labour lead remains at just five points in the latest ComRes opinion poll for The Independent on Sunday, shared with the Sunday Mirror.

Conservatives 31% -1
Labour          36% -1
UKIP              14% +1
Lib Dem         8% -3
Others          10% +4

Change on comparable figures from last month.*

We asked people whether they thought David Cameron was a better or worse prime minister than each of the prime ministers since Harold Wilson, which allowed us to compile a league table, which I shall write up in a separate post.


I trust David Cameron and George Osborne to make the right decisions about the economy

Agree 27% (+2) Disagree 51% (-4) Net agree -24% (+6)

I trust Ed Miliband and Ed Balls to make the right decisions about the economy

Agree 20% (-1) Disagree 55% (+3) Net agree -35% (-4)

Change since December

Horsemeat Scandal

I have stopped eating meat ready meals as a result of the reports of horsemeat in British food

Agree: 31% Disagree: 58%

Women (35%) are more likely than men (27%) to say they have stopped eating ready meals.

I have stopped eating meat altogether as a result of the reports of horsemeat in British food

Agree: 7% Disagree: 87%

All meat imports should be banned until we can be sure of their origin

Agree: 53% Disagree: 33%

The Government has responded well to the findings of horsemeat in ready meals

Agree: 44% Disagree: 30%

Pope’s Abdication

It would be a positive step for the Catholic church if they chose an African as their next Pope

Agree: 33% Disagree: 19% Don’t know: 48%

The Catholic church is a force for good in the world

Agree: 22% Disagree: 45% Don’t know: 32%

ComRes interviewed 2,002 GB adults online on 13 and 14 February 2013. Data were weighted to be demographically representative of all GB adults. Data were also weighted by past vote recall. ComRes is a member of the British Polling Council and abides by its rules. Full tables at ComRes.

*ComRes has changed the way it treats minor parties, making the same turnout adjustment as for the three main parliamentary parties. It says: “In recent months we have been exploring the best way to treat smaller parties when calculating voting intention. We have experimented with including smaller parties in voting intention scores only if respondents are certain to vote; this has been on the basis that, comparing polling against actual 2010 results, we were concerned that the traditional method was over-stating smaller parties. However, with UKIP the game has changed and we therefore propose that from now on supporters of smaller parties will be included if respondents are 5/10 or above in terms of likelihood to vote, as is the case with the major parties. We will however continue to review our methodology as the general election approaches.”

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  • TitusLivius

    Anything coming from John Rentoul ,the Tory, Blair supporter and mouthpiecs of the neo cons in the Indy I take with a pinch of salt.
    A pathetic attempt at a self fulfilling prophecy

  • JohnJustice

    Looks like Labour’s disappointing overall performance this month and the falliiing confidence in their economic policies might be linked to the reaction of the media to Miliband’s 10p wheeze, some Labour supporters not being happy with Miliband’s trashing of the previous government’s actions on this matter and the general ignorance of the electorate on relatively esoteric economic points. Back to the drawing board perhaps.

  • reformist lickspittle

    This poll was mostly taken before the 10p announcement, wasn’t it??

    And in recent days, ICM and MORI have given 12 point Labour leads, whilst the latest YouGov (taken *after* the 10p speech) has an 11 point advantage.

    It isn’t for nothing that ComRes are known by many poll watchers as “Comedy Results” – no wonder Rentoul loves ‘em ;)

  • Pingback: Poll alert | John Rentoul | Independent Eagle Eye Blogs

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