Selling Secrets to the Mainland: Military Espionage in Taiwan (part 2)
The question of why so many Taiwanese military officers would betray their country is a complicated one, as complicated as the six-decade plus relationship between China and Taiwan itself.
Professor Fitsanakis told me that as relations between China and Taiwan warmed in the last 10-15 years, more interaction has taken place. As this plays out, he said, it’s easier for China to find disgruntled employees to influence. In addition, China now has vast amounts of foreign currency at its disposal and finds it increasingly easy to use bribery.
A long-time Chinese watcher based in Taiwan, speaking on condition of anonymity, told me that it was partly Taiwan’s fault.
“They [Taiwan] takes a military officer and basically sticks him in a concrete room or office with low pay and expects him to serve like that for years. It breads discontent, even anger,” he said.
He added that the spying problem in Taiwan is worse than what the media reports and that there are taxi-drivers, teachers and people across all stratum of society that are either gathering information for China or are open to the idea.
If so, it’s a chilling disclosure. The extent of the fall-out from these security breaches in Taiwan’s military apparatus depends on who you ask. Not surprisingly, the Taiwanese military negates the extent of the damage.
However, others disagree. Commenting on the General Lo case, J. Michael Cole, a former intelligence officer at the Canadian Security Intelligence Service and deputy news editor at the Taipei Times wrote in October that it was hard to contain the damage, “especially as doubts remained over how much access he [Lo] had to the nation’s Command, Control, Communications, Computer Intelligence, Surveillance and Reconnaissance (C4ISR) systems, which Taiwan has been modernizing with US assistance for well over a decade.”
Fitsanakis said that recent military secret leaks in Taiwan, while significant in the short term, are not catastrophic.
“The major casualty of this is the relationship of trust between Taiwan and the US,” he said. “Many in Washington are increasingly hesitant to supply Taiwan with sensitive military technology because they fear penetration by the Chinese.”
Fitsanakis added that while nobody in the State Department would admit it publicaly, it’s subverting US-Taiwanese relations. Yet, to understand the problem that Taiwan is facing, more background information is needed on how China’s spy network began and how it operates. China’s main intelligence gathering agency, the Ministry of State Security (MSS), is the world’s most secret agency according to experts and engages in military intelligence and counterintelligence operations.
According to GlobalSecurity.org, the organizational structure of the MSS reflects the structure of the Russian KGB.
“In terms of personnel, the MSS favors non-professional intelligence agents such as travelers, businessmen, and academics with a special emphasis on the overseas Chinese students and high-tech Chinese professionals working abroad with access to sensitive technological material,” GlobalSecurity states.
Fitsanakis said that the MSS is not as technologically advanced as other intelligence gathering agencies but makes up for it in sheer size. For example, he said that reports indicated that the MSS has around 40,000 agents operating in Germany alone.
As a comparison, though the US Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) states that neither the number of its employees nor the size of the agency’s budget can be publicly disclosed, the CIA has around 60,000 agents in its ranks according to some analysts.
Going after Mei Guo
All of this beckons the question, if Sino-Taiwanese relations are improving, then why the increase in Chinese spying activity? The answer is simple: America (Mei Guo).
“China has been increasingly aggressive since the early 1990s in recruiting Taiwanese to spy,” Fitsanakis said. “Notably the need to spy on US military systems (early warning systems, missile systems) which are easier to access in Taiwan than in the US.” According to Fitsanakis both have been compromised in recent years.
He added that this would not change in the foreseeable future because weapons systems are the most coveted intel of any country. Beijing has also intensified its spying activities in recent years to confront what is sees as US encirclement in the Asia Pacific region as well as a safeguard to secure energy routes through the East China and South China Seas.
Though China is tightening the noose around Taiwan’s military, the island nation is not passive. Taiwan is also spying on its giant neighbor. Taiwan has a national security bureau and MIB (Military Intelligence Bureau) and has also been active in the last 10 years.
Fitsanakis said that Taiwan is also collecting intelligence inside China as well as using counter-intelligence tricks and what he called “dangles.” In other words, Taiwan sets up a seemingly perfect situation to trick China into recruiting a Taiwanese national, with the sole intent of passing on false intelligence.
Often Taiwanese business professionals with business interests in the mainland are recruited for this type of counter-intelligence work, according to Fitsanakis. Admittedly, it is impossible for Taiwan to match the size of China’s spy network. Twenty-four million verses 1.3 billion pus doesn’t seem like a fair fight.
How all of this will unfold as China and Taiwan continue to forge relations in the near future is anybody’s guess. However, what is not guesswork is the gravity of the matter – whether or not Taiwan can stop the passing of intelligence to the mainland may well dictate its future survival as an independent state.
Tagged in: Chian Ching-kuo, china, Ma Ying-jeou, Taiwan, Yuan Hsiao-fengRecent Posts on Notebook
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