iBet: Manchester United price can’t be ignored
Manchester United V Manchester City, kick off 8pm, Sky Sports 1
Back Manchester United at 2.34 with Betfair
The cornerstone of any profitable betting strategy is the ability to spot value prices and take advantage of them, and on value alone Manchester United should be backed simply because they should be a shorter price than the 2.34 available on Betfair to beat their city rivals tonight. The last time The Reds failed to score at Old Trafford was on December 12th 2009 against Aston Villa – an incredible 61 games ago. And in those 61 games they lost only four times, drawing three. Of course they got thumped in this fixture 6-1 last season, but the truth is that Manchester City simply do not look as dangerous or as motivated this time around and with the league title gone, they might just have one eye on the forthcoming FA Cup semi final with Chelsea. On slight worry is that United have never gone a whole Premier League season without drawing at least once. They haven’t had an Old Trafford stalemate yet this season, and some might prefer to lay City at 3.5. However, all stats suggest they should always be odds on to win league games at home, and they have to be backed.
Roma are the entertainers of Italy’s Serie A and their home games average 3.7 goals. They have played 61 times this season and only five of them have produced less than two goals – a ratio of around 12 per cent or one in eight. You can lay under 1.5 goals at 4.5 on Betfair in their home fixture against Lazio tonight, which looks value. BetVictor offer the best fixed odds price about there being over 2.5 goals at 5/6.
Betfair gives you better value. To see how much more you can win go to www.betfair.com/betcheckerbetting
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