iBet: Italy may be more focused on the Confederations Cup than Mexico

Gareth Purnell

Confederations Cup

Mexico V Italy, kick off Sun, 8pm

Lay Mexico at 2.5 to one with Betfair

Italy come here with pretty much a full strength squad and can be very relaxed about their World Cup qualification. That can’t be said for Mexico, who keep on drawing and lie in a precarious third position in their group, behind USA and Costa Rica. Laying them might seem a bit risky given they have not lost in nine games this year, but they have won only one of those have been playing some lower ranked teams. Indeed they haven’t taken on anyone of the quality of Italy lately, and in their recent run Denmark are the top ranked team they drew against (Italy beat Denmark 3-1 in October). Mexico have failed to score in four of their last six games, and Italy may just be the more focused here.

I like the look of Luca Cumani’s Semeen in the 8.05pm at Leicester today. Having stayed on to lead near the finishing line last time out, it’s good to see him step up another furlong and the first two were miles clear. The form has been boosted by second place Cashpoint winning next time, and Semeen’s pedigree suggests 1m 3f should suit. Betfair Sportsbook have a great offer going at the day’s big meeting at Sandown to get you in the mood for a big win – place a £10 treble and if it loses, they will refund your stake.

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