iBet: Favourites have a good record in the Coventry stakes

Gareth Purnell

Royal Ascot, Coventry Stakes, 4.25pm

Back Stubbs at 3/1

Today’s St James Palace looks a cracker and there has been sustained money for Dawn Approach since the surprise announcement that the impressive 2,000 Guineas winner, who flopped when favourite for the Derby, was going to compete in this. Dawn Approach (11/8) has now replaced long time favourite Magician (5/2) at the top of the market, with Richard Hannon’s talented Toronado (7/2) also in the line up it looks a race to savour, rather than take a financial position on.

The Coventry Stakes at 4.25 sees the most talented sprinters taking each other on, and there’s also a strong market leader here in the shape of Aiden O’Brien’s Stubbs, who goes off at 3/1. This is a horse I like a lot and there are reasons for thinking that he might be worth a small wager at the price. Despite always looking ultra competitive, this is a race in which the favourite has a very good record, with six of the last 12 going in.

Indeed all of the last 10 winners were priced 8/1 or shorter, and it’s a race O’Brien has a soft spot for, having saddled two winners in the last ten years and four between 1997 and 2002. Stubbs has won his last two races including the one Dawn Approach won before winning this last year at 7/2. It’s also worth noting that Stubbs will be ridden by Joseph O’Brien, who has partnered him in all three of his races. Aidan O’Brien often trusts his son with his best horses  and I’ll take that as a sign that the Ballydoyle stable rates this youngster highly.

Spain’s Under-21 side heads into the final of the European Championship with Italy having not conceded a goal in the tournament. It’s 23/20 with Betfair Sportsbook that they keep another clean sheet in tonight’s 5pm kick-off (Sky Sports 2).

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