iBet: Back Spain to shut out Tahiti
Spain V Tahiti, kick off 8pm, BBC 3
Back Spain To Keep A Clean Sheet at 1.44 with Betfair
Back Estimate each way in the Ascot Gold Cup at 5/1
The spread betting firms are very slow about pricing up this game and you can understand why. All the talk was about how badly Nigeria had prepared for the Confederations Cup, with arguments about bonuses among a number of problems which caused their late arrival.
There was much talk about Tahiti’s ‘historic’ goal, but they were brushed aside 6-1 and were 3-0 down inside half an hour. Nigeria are ranked 31st in the world. Against the world’s No1 team, who look their usual focused selves, you have to fear for Tahiti and there is much talk about a double-figure scoreline.
Of course the fixed odds and exchange markets reflect all of this. You have to go over 8.5 goals to get near to even money. Spain will of course dominate possession and any chances for the South Sea Islanders are likely to be minimal, if they exist at all. It’s a short price about Spain keeping a clean sheet, but it does seem very likely indeed and may be safer than betting on at least nine goals, as while Spain could probably score 15, there is always a danger of them taking their foot off the gas. Spain are now favourites to win the tournament.
Michael Stoute’s Estimate is one of few progressive horses in today’s Gold Cup at Ascot and has been easily the best-backed. The Queen’s horse likes the course, her pedigree suggests she is likely to stay the 2m 5f and this has been her target for ages. At 5/1 she looks value to raise the roof.
Betfair gives you better value. To see how much more you can win go to www.betfair.com/betcheckerbetting
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