iBet: Nadal could be the value call in tricky Men’s title conundrum
Wimbledon 2013, Men’s Tournament, starts today
Back Rafael Nadal at 4/1
Although Ferrer got to the final at Roland Garros, men’s tennis is dominated by Nadal, Federer, Murray and Djokovic. And with the first three of those in the same half of the draw it’s little surprise that Djokovic has been backed into 5/4 favouritism. It’s now very hard to find any value in the outright market.
Federer is the master of this surface, but he looks on the wane and the bookies are clearly trying to ‘get him’ by offering up to 10/1. Murray (4/1) proved his quality here in the Olympics and is full of confidence coming off the back of a facile victory at Queen’s. But he usually finds one too good at the Slams and I’d find it hard to fancy him strongly against Nadal over five sets.
Djokovic seems to have a straightforward run to the final, but 5/4 doesn’t look amazing value about a player who has won here only once and triumphed in only one of the last five Slams, especially as one of the four will probably find some trouble on the way and it could just as easily be the Serb as the others.
At the prices I’d probably chance Nadal at 4/1 purely on value grounds, as he’s proved many times he can come through long, tough matches and still perform to the top of his ability in finals. This isn’t Nadal’s favourite surface, but he has won here twice and he’s back with a bang. The courts will be green in the early rounds, which won’t suit him, but the forecast is decent and as the tournament progresses the bounce should get higher and could play into his hands. The betting for the ladies title is extremely one-sided with Serena Williams long odds on.
Frenchman Jo-Wilfried Tsonga is vying for favouritism in the market for who will serve the most aces in the men’s tournament, at around 9/2 with Milos Raonic and Andy Murray.
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