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iBet: Nadal could be the value call in tricky Men’s title conundrum

Gareth Purnell

Wimbledon 2013, Men’s Tournament, starts today

Back Rafael Nadal at 4/1

Although Ferrer got to the final at Roland Garros, men’s tennis is dominated by Nadal, Federer, Murray and Djokovic. And with the first three of those in the same half of the draw it’s little surprise that Djokovic has been backed into 5/4 favouritism. It’s now very hard to find any value in the outright market.

Federer is the master of this surface, but he looks on the wane and the bookies are clearly trying to ‘get him’ by offering up to 10/1. Murray (4/1) proved his quality here in the Olympics and is full of confidence coming off the back of a facile victory at Queen’s. But he usually finds one too good at the Slams and I’d find it hard to fancy him strongly against Nadal over five sets.

Djokovic seems to have a straightforward run to the final, but 5/4 doesn’t look amazing value about a player who has won here only once and triumphed in only one of the last five Slams, especially as one of the four will probably find some trouble on the way and it could just as easily be the Serb as the others.

At the prices I’d probably chance Nadal at 4/1 purely on value grounds, as he’s proved many times he can come through long, tough matches and still perform to the top of his ability in finals. This isn’t Nadal’s favourite surface, but he has won here twice and he’s back with a bang. The courts will be green in the early rounds, which won’t suit him, but the forecast is decent and as the tournament progresses the bounce should get higher and could play into his hands. The betting for the ladies title is extremely one-sided with Serena Williams long odds on.

Advices
Frenchman Jo-Wilfried Tsonga is vying for favouritism in the market for who will serve the most aces in the men’s tournament, at around 9/2 with Milos Raonic and Andy Murray.

Betfair gives you better value. To see how much more you can win go to www.betfair.com/betchecker

betfair63015 300x653 iBet: Nadal could be the value call in tricky Men’s title conundrum

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  • Michael Scanlon

    Yeeaahhhhh………………………

  • TimHedges

    Ha Ha ha ha ha

  • Ben Corrigan

    looool! so confident. i know its unfair, and it was a massiv shock… but this article is still hilarious and i bet the journalist is embarrassed

  • Darbeet

    that worked out well then

  • GarethPurnell

    I’m honestly not embarrassed at all. To me it’s the same as Nadal losing 10-8 in the fifth set of the final. A losing bet, followed by a winning bet last night. I still don’t think Djokovic is VALUE at the price, although he is a very likely winner. At the prices now I would be with Murray in this tournament, especially with Tsonga now out as well.


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