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Poll: The Rise of Theresa May

John Rentoul

TheresaMay 300x187 Poll: The Rise of Theresa MayTheresa May, the Home Secretary, is rated more highly than any other national politician, according to a ComRes opinion poll for The Independent on Sunday tomorrow, shared with the Sunday Mirror.

The poll found Labour’s lead down one point to eight points since last month:

Labour         36% (+1)
Conservatives   28% (+2)
UKIP          18% (-1)
Lib Dems       8% (-2)
Others        10% (0)

In other findings, twice as many were opposed to a knighthood for Andy Murray for winning Wimbledon (55 per cent) as supported it (26 per cent).

Boris Johnson was the only politician in a list of eight to be given a positive rating for performance in his current job, with Theresa May the best rated of Members of Parliament with a net score of -4 (“well” minus “badly”):

Do you think the following politicians are performing well or badly in their current jobs?
Performing Well
Performing Badly
Don’t know
Boris Johnson
50%
25%
26%
David Cameron
31%
52%
17%
Theresa May
30%
34%
37%
Ed Miliband
23%
51%
26%
George Osborne
23%
52%
26%
Ed Balls
20%
48%
32%
Michael Gove
13%
43%
45%
Jeremy Hunt
10%
36%
54%

After her success in deporting Abu Qatada this week, the press has speculated about Ms May’s chances of succeeding David Cameron as Conservative leader. The scores above seem to mark a sharp improvement since our ComRes poll in March:

Theresa May, the Home Secretary, would make a good prime minister

Agree 19% Disagree 45% Don’t know 36%

Party funding

High numbers of people replied “don’t know” to many of these questions, but Ed Miliband might be encouraged that his proposed reforms, including primaries, are supported and people prefer donations from trade unions to those from rich individuals. The argument made by Len McCluskey, Unite leader, that union influence is needed to secure working-class MPs, does not find favour.

If forced to choose, I would prefer that parties receive money from trade unions than from wealthy individual donors

Agree: 30% Disagree: 27% Don’t know: 44%

Ed Miliband has handled the controversy surrounding trade union influence in the Labour Party well

Agree: 31% Disagree: 30% Don’t know: 38%

Trade union members should pay membership fees to the Labour Party only if they individually choose to, rather than automatically be enrolled

Agree: 67% Disagree: 8% Don’t know: 25%

If trade union influence in the Labour Party is reduced, working class people will find it harder to have their views represented in Parliament

Agree: 28% Disagree: 39% Don’t know: 33%

Parliament is too unrepresentative of the UK population as a whole

Agree: 67% Disagree: 14% Don’t know: 19%

I support the idea of “open primaries” to select parliamentary candidates where everyone on the electoral register can take part

Agree: 52% Disagree: 11% Don’t know: 37%

On the right track?

I am more optimistic about the direction of the country than I was a year ago

Agree: 28% Disagree: 50% Don’t know: 22%

Tennis

Andy Murray deserves a knighthood for winning Wimbledon

Agree: 26% Disagree: 55% Don’t know: 19%

Of the sample of Scots (156), a plurality (46%) support an Andy Murray knighthood, with one-third (36%) disagreeing.

ComRes interviewed 2,021 GB adults online on 10 and 11 July 2013. Data were weighted to be demographically representative of all GB adults. Data were also weighted by past vote recall. ComRes is a member of the British Polling Council and abides by its rules. Full tables on the ComRes website.

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  • Two Bob

    yougov need to wise up or be considered unreliable. UKIP are far more popular than they suggest

  • Junius

    A quick internet search reveals that at least four candidates were elected to Westminster in 2010 after winning open primaries in their constituencies: Kwasi Kwarteng in Spelthorne; Sarah Wollaston in Totnes; Caroline Dinenage in Gosport; and Rory Stewart in Penrith and Border. There may well be more, but as things stand Ed and Nick have some catching up to do in 2015.

    It is more than thirty years since I was a party member and activist, but were I now to be deprived of the perk of choosing a candidate as some scant reward for all the work and time spent in fundraising, membership drives and subscription collection, keeping the supporters’ records up to date and canvassing and leaflet-delivering at election times, I might easily come to the conclusion that the game was no longer worth the candle.

  • Pacificweather

    You really do struggle with arithmetic JR. The independent accused TM of being an accessory to murder. She refused to respond, even to the Lord Chancellor. That will do her political career no harm at all as Britons like to see that trait in their female Prime Ministers.

  • Pacificweather

    I guess it depends on how much you believe in democracy.

  • greggf

    Perhaps the 67% who agree that Parliament is too unrepresentative of the UK population as a whole is something to consider.

    Has this question been asked before?

  • Pingback: Voters oppose free movement of EU workers | John Rentoul | Independent Eagle Eye Blogs


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