Spot the Difference
A miscellany of polling data to think about over the summer. Michael Ashcroft’s poll of politicians’ recognition last month found that 12 per cent of people said, yes, they recognised a photograph of the Chancellor but, when asked who it was, said something other than “George Osborne”: the most common wrong answer was “Ed Miliband”.
Then another 12 per cent – although the two groups presumably overlapped – said that they recognised Ed Miliband but then identified him as someone else: usually his brother David. The totals correctly identifying Osborne and Ed Miliband were 62 per cent and 77 per cent respectively.
Finally, for those people who are for ever pointing out that David Cameron “lost” the last election, a question and a table. The question is: who is the Prime Minister? And the table, below, is of swings at each election from the previous election (it comes from a paper by David Cowling, supreme number cruncher of the BBC, to which I referred here).
The 5.1-point swing to the Tories in 2010 was the third largest swing to any party since the war. The two largest were to Labour in 1997, 10.2 (when the party was led by some vote loser, according to the some of same people who think Cameron lost in 2010), and to the Tories in 1979, 5.3 – although the swing to the Tories in 1970, 4.9, was also close.opinion polls
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