iBet: Everton may be false favourites in Premier League market ‘Without the Big Six’
Premier League ‘Without The Big Six’
Back Swansea at 10/1, saver on Aston Villa at 14/1s
We are always on the lookout for markets with possible false favourites as that means there is value elsewhere, and this could be one such occasion. Everton have been pretty much bankers in this market over the last few years under David Moyes, but it’s all change at Goodison. We are yet to see how new manager Roberto Martinez gels with his players (it could all go very wrong and at best it may take some time for the Spaniard to get his players to buy into his expansive style), and Everton are an outfit with a very good first team but without too much depth in the squad, so injuries or the possible sales of key players like Marouaine Fellaini and Leighton Baines could have a major impact.
Given the circumstances, 11/8 is a ludicrously short price. The more I see of Swansea manager Michael Laudrup, the more impressed I am. Swansea play the possession game with confidence, and are hard to peg back once they get ahead. They picked up possibly the buy of the season last year in Michu (18 Premier League goals), but Laudrup has recognised that even with him Swansea need more cutting edge. Judging by pre-season his acquisitions have clicked straight away – Swansea scored 28 goals pre-season and conceded only once. Wilfried Bony (£12 million from Vitesse) looks especially good already having scored on his competitive debut in the Europe League. Bony notched 31 goals in 30 games in the Eredivisie last season. The issue Swansea are going to have is trying to keep things going on several fronts including in Europe, but Bony is one of six players picked up by Laudrup to strengthen the squad and at 10/1 they look the each way value, with improving Aston Villa also possibly worth a nibble at 14/1.
Eight players have been made 12/1 joint favourites to be the ‘worst disciplined player’ in the Premier League in the coming season – Sidwell, Hudson, Gardner, Cattermole, Meyler, Evans, Amorebieta and Davies.
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