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Ed the Unready

John Rentoul

edunready 177x300 Ed the UnreadyA Conservative contact has drawn my attention to opinion-poll numbers that are quite striking.

At this point before the last election, in October 2008, YouGov asked:

Do you believe the Conservatives today are or are not ready for government?

Ready 43%

YouGov asked the same question about Labour on 16 September:

Do you believe the Labour Party today are or are not ready for government?

Ready 22%

Similarly, 19 months before the last election, YouGov asked:

Do you believe that at the moment David Cameron does or does not look like a prime minister in waiting?

He does look like a PM in waiting 49%

And they asked the same question about Ed Miliband this month:

Do you believe that at the moment Ed Miliband does or does not look like a prime minister in waiting?

He does look like a PM in waiting 12%

Our ComRes polling last weekend was similarly discouraging for Miliband, although it will be interesting to see if there is much change in his ratings, and Labour’s “ready for government” rating, after this week’s conference.

Picture: General Boles

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  • Hill244

    Always with the Comres. Failed to predict Aug 2011 Uprising however.

  • JohnJustice

    Er, the very latest YouGov poll shows that Labour’s lead has risen from 5% to 9% with its proportion of the vote crossing the crucial 40% mark. Half the polling was done before Ed’s speech and half afterwards so there could be an even bigger bounce when the contents of his speech sink in. Other polls revealsthat energy costs are regarded as the biggest threat to our economy with 86% taking the view that energy companies are profiteering at the expense of the public.

    So Ed may not be regarded as ready for government at this point in time (not suprising when you consider the press he has been receiving, even from supposedly Labour supporters :-) ) but he is certainly striking a chord with the public now which may stand him in good stead come election time.

  • newfriendofed

    How thoughtful of a conservative contact to bring this particular poll to J. R.’s attention. On the substance, one could have a lot of fun trying to work out what the second question is really tapping. For example, I would have agreed that Cameron looked like he was waiting to be prime minister. That is exactly what he looked like he was waiting to be. I dreaded the prospect but that did not stop me from thinking that is what he looked like he was doing, i. e. hanging around, just waiting to be prime minister. Part of it was that he looked like what prime ministers are supposed to look like. On the other hand, if pressed, I cannot exactly think of a prime minister that looked like him. I guess Ed does not look like how prime ministers are supposed to look. What does this mean? Perhaps that if central casting were to cast a prime minister, they would never chose him.

  • Pacificweather

    So if 43% thought they were ready for government why did only 36% vote for them. Did they get cold feet or were they New Zealanders?

    When will you learn John, polls are not relevant in a post code democracy.


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