iBet: Is Ruler Of The World The Forgotten Arc Horse?
Arc De Triumph, October 6th, Longchamp, France
Back Ruler of the World each way at 12/1 fixed odds, or to win at 18.5 with Betfair
With all the Arc de Triumph trials now run and the race now only eight days away, the betting for the Longchamp spectacular now has a settled look. There can be no doubting the credentials of the favourite Orfevre. The 2011 Japanese Triple Crown winner is now as short as 9/4, although you can still get 11/4 in places, which will look a give-away should he scoot in as some are predicting.
However, he can be a bit of a monkey and the Arc is a strange race that can throw up surprises, so I prefer to look for some each way value elsewhere. There’s no more successful trainer of the winner of this great race than Andre Fabre, who has graced the winner’s enclose seven times, although not since 2006.
Fabre has four contenders this time around. Flintshire (12/1) showed a distinct disliking for soft ground in the Prix Neil when fourth to Japanese Derby winner Kizuna (8/1 for this) and will only run if the ground is good. Intello (12/1) seems to be the one for Fabre, but although he has oodles of class, there is a big enough doubt about him staying the 1.5 miles, and I pass him over. The difficulty in solving this year’s puzzle is highlighted by nine horses being 16/1 or shorter in the betting.
For an outsider, I quite like the chances of Jean-Claude Rouget’s Morandi (40/1 fixed odds, 74/1 on Betfair), but only if the ground comes up testing. However, at the prices the one I am prepared to take an each way chance on is Ruler of the World, who is still available at 12/1 (although as short as 7/1 in places).
It seems to me that Aiden O’Brien’s mount is something of the forgotten horse here. He did after all win the Epsom derby when quietly fancied after some sizzling work at Ballydoyle, and bounced back from a poor run at the Curragh with an excellent second in the Prix Niel on this course when he may have needed the run. He is one of the few horses who comes into the race fresh, and if he takes to the course could run a huge race in what looks a wide open event. As stated above, on the fixed odds you can get up to 12/1, but if you want to back him outright, 18.5 is available on the Betfair exchange.
Betfair gives you better value. To see how much more you can win go to www.betfair.com/betcheckerbetting
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