iBet: Tasty Clash At The Emirates, But Defences Look Very Strong
Arsenal V Everton, Sun, kick off 4pm, Sky Sports 1
Lay over 3.5 goals at 2.8 with Betfair
Back the draw at 29/10 with BetVictor
I think I will leave Manchester United alone on the betting front for a while. I went against them at Bayer Leverkusen but thought that performance was a turning point for them, and subsequently backed them to beat Everton! Back to the drawing board. Everton’s performance interested me greatly. Apart from ending a 20 year hoodoo at Old Trafford, they were the first team to prevent The Reds scoring in a home league match apart from Chelsea for 74 games.
Roberto Martinez has them playing some expansive football, but their defence is clearly excellent. That was their fifth clean sheet in their last six Premier League game which is some feat given the quality of striker on display at this level. Martinez is keeping things tight away from home in particular. Their record of seven goals conceded on their travels is bettered only by Arsenal, who have shipped just five away from home, and West Ham. They have scored nine in their seven away games for a goals per game average of 2.28 goals. Indeed they’ve lost only one game all season.
Now perhaps for their biggest test, an in-form, table-topping Arsenal at the Emirates. Since losing on opening day to away specialists Aston Villa, the Gunners have shipped only two goals on home soil, winning six in a row and scoring 15 times. Against what I would call classy sides this season at home their results have been 1-0 (Spurs); 2-0 (Napoli); 1-2 (Dortmund) and 2-0 (Liverpool). So they too have been good at clean sheets and indeed like Everton they have also kept clean sheets in five of their last six Premier League games – stats that make me think the value here from a betting point of view is to go ‘unders’ on the goals. Everton are draw specialists this season and nearly 3/1 is just too big to resist.
If you want to back a team other than the hosts for World Cup glory but are worried about Brazil lifting the trophy, then Genting Bets’ offer to refund all outright bets on the competition if they win is certainly worth considering.
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