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iBet: Suarez Predicted To Set A New Premier League Scoring Record

Gareth Purnell

Premier League Spread Betting

There are bundles of Luis Suarez markets out there at the moment, indeed I highlighted yesterday that I think that Paddy Power’s 7/2 offer that the Uruguayan outscores England at the World Cup looks value. I would have him at around 6/4 in that market as I believe England could really struggle in Brazil once they step up a level.

Despite missing the first five games of the season with a ban, Suarez has already notched 17 Premier League goals in 11 games and with Liverpool really beginning to click, spread betting firm Sporting Index reckon he will end up the season with 32 goals. If he does, that would be the best return in a season since Alan Shearer hit 34 back in 1994-95, but that was a 42-game season and since the league was reduced to 20 teams (the following season) only two players – Shearer (1995-1996) and Cristiano Ronaldo (2007-2008) – have hit 31 goals across a league campaign.

Of course with any bet like this the danger of an injury always looms large, but if he does avoid one and carries on at the current rate, he will set a new record. Assuming Suarez plays in all his club’s remaining games, if he reaches 32 his average goals per game ratio of 0.96 will be the highest recorded, beating Ronaldo’s record of 0.91. Manchester City are the only team in England’s top four divisions to boast a 100% home record and have hit more goals at the Etihad than 18 of the other 19 top-flight clubs have managed home and away combined.

Only Liverpool’s league total of 39 surpasses the 35 the City attack have smashed in on home turf and Sporting Index have calculated Manuel Pellegrini’s side will hit another 28 goals in their ten remaining home matches. That would give them a total of 63 home goals – still five short of Chelsea’s Premier League record set in 2009-10. Spread bettors can buy (bet higher) or sell (bet lower) on these predictions.

Advices
Home form is going to be key to rock-bottom Sunderland getting out of the mess they got into under Di Canio. However, they have shown a great deal of spirit lately, not least midweek in the Carling Cup, and there are definitely positive signs there. Since Poyet took over in early October Sunderland have beaten Newcastle and Manchester City in the league, drawn away at Villa and West Ham and knocked Southampton and Chelsea out of cup competitions, as well as losing only by the odd goal in the league to Chelsea and Spurs.

It’s interesting to note that they have scored in their last 10 home games. They have had some poor results too, but that is going to happen, and on Saturday one might be enough to avoid defeat against a Norwich side that is struggling for goals. Only six teams have scored fewer than Norwich and their goal difference of minus 14 is the third worst in the Premier League overall.

Away from home they have shipped more than anyone – 21 goals – giving them the worst away goal difference of all (-15). It has to be said that Sunderland have the joint worst home goal difference, but they are definitely on the up under Poyet and should at least get a draw. I was going to recommend laying Norwich with Betfair as I thought they would be around 2.9 to lay, but at 4.0 I will leave it alone.

GARETH’S FOOTBALL TIPS

gareth tips header 300x4447 iBet: Suarez Predicted To Set A New Premier League Scoring Record

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  • http://www.heroesfitness.co.uk/ spencer

    I wouldn’t put it passed Suarez to break the record as he is firing on all cylinders this season, he is a world class striker, more of an all rounder than Shearer who was more of a poacher. But Shearer was still a class act.

    Come on Suarez :-)


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