Ibet: Newcastle struggling to cope with loss of Yohan Cabaye
Newcastle V Aston Villa, Sunday kick off 1.30pm (Sky Sports 1)
Lay Newcastle at 2.14 with Betfair
A difficult Premier League card over the weekend where it’s hard to be confident enough about anything to recommend a solid bet at odds on; and it’s perhaps better to look for some speculative value. Aston Villa are by no means out of the relegation picture. I have seen a lot of them this season and they have been hopeless at home. They also have a pretty tough end to the season and quotes of 11/1 about them going down are ridiculous – they should be more like 3/1 in my view. Having said that, I have a sneaky feeling them might get something out of their trip to Newcastle, partly because their counter-attacking game is far better suited to teams pressing them away from home, but just as importantly because Newcastle are on a dreadful run themselves.
Pardew’s men have lost four on the spin now and are not coping at all well with the loss of their talisman Yohan Cabaye, who, it seems was far more important to making them tick than most of us realised. Villa would be tenth and 11 points off the bottom three based on away form alone and in fact they have a pretty good record of winning two, losing two and drawing one against top half teams. And it’s interesting to note that Villa have taken only one point fewer from their away games than Newcastle have from their home fixtures. Indeed Newcastle are second bottom of the eight-match form table with only one win and three goals scored in that run, whereas Villa have scored ten in their last eight. Taking into consideration all the above and even though I think Villa are one of the weaker teams in the section, I do not think Newcastle are a 5/4 shot at the moment and they represent a low risk lay.
Sports betting platform Betfair’s ‘cashout’ facility has certainly caught the imagination of the punting community. In essence it’s an ‘in running facility that allows you to see at a glance how your bet is doing against the in-running prices relative to what the price was when you placed the bet. And just as importantly it takes the mathematics out of taking profits early, or cutting your losses, based on how the event is going. This week the company awarded £5,000 to the person who made their one millionth cash out. The lucky punter was Jason Palmer of Leeds, who had placed a £5 treble on Atletico Madrid (11/10), Bayern Munich (7/10) and Leicester (8/5) all to win. Despite Madrid and Munich winning, Forest led Leicester for much of the game and Jason decided to cash out of his bet and walk away with a profit of just 16p. Or, as it turned out, £5000.16. Nice.Tagged in: aston villa, Newcastle, Sky Sports, Yohan Cabaye
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