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Ibet: Red cards could cost Yeovil when they take on in-form Sheffield Wednesday

Gareth Purnell

yellow book Ibet: Red cards could cost Yeovil when they take on in form Sheffield WednesdayThe Championship

Yeovil V Sheffield Wednesday, Sat, kick off 3pm

Lay Yeovil at 3.4 with Betfair

Yeovil are second bottom of the Championship with only six wins all season from 32 games, the second worst record of wins in the division. Based on home form alone they would be bottom (three wins at home). Their results have picked up a bit of late, two of those wins coming in their last eight games. The first of these was a 2-0 win at Birmingham, who had nearly 70 per cent of the possession and 24 shots. Note that Birmingham are the second worse home team in the division with only two wins at home. The most recent was a 1-0 win against fellow strugglers Doncaster. Sheffield Weds (6/4 with William Hill win here) are not pulling up any trees, but they are hitting form. They are 15th in the division but seventh in the eight-match form table with only two defeats in that run. They have also won four of their last six games to nil. Wednesday have also only been beaten four times on their travels all season. Probably the most important factor of all here though is that Yeovil, who do not have a deep squad, had three players sent off last week, all of them starting bans this weekend. This is also a game with potential to profit for betting on not many goals. Sheffield’s away games average just 2.1 goals and their last eight have been tighter still, averaging 1.75. Only Leicester have conceded fewer goals in the last eight games, but only the bottom five teams have scored fewer. Yeovil’s last eight games have averaged 2.5 goals, but they are the second lowest scorers in the division, and lowest scorers of all at home with only 11 in 16 games. Yeovil home games average only 1.8 goals. However it’s odds on (4/6) that there will be less than three goals. Yeovil are 3.4 to lay and with the draw on our side that looks value bet here.

Advices

Norwich’s first half capitulation against Villa last week was quite odd, but they have been weak away from home with only two wins all season. In contrast they have been good at home, not losing in five games at Carrow Road in 2014, including beating Spurs and drawing with Man City. They have lost only four at home all season and have been tight at home too of late. In four Premier League home games in 2014 they have conceded zero goals. Stoke have the joint worst away record in the division with only one victory and three draws in 14 games. They score at a rate of 0.7 goals a game on their travels. Norwich home games average only 1.64 goals. Stoke have had the odd thumping this season, but in 2014 their five away games have produced just eight goals. Stoke could be a value lay at 3.75 with Betfair based on those stats. And with a draw probably an okay result for both teams the game also has potential for being low scoring. Stan James offers the best price of 4/6 that there will be under 2.5 goals.

The game is live on Setanta 1.

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