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Ibet: Manchester United’s Record Against Top Half Teams Is Poor

Gareth Purnell

edwin112 300x225 Ibet: Manchester United’s Record Against Top Half Teams Is PoorPremier League: Manchester United V Manchester City, kick off 7.45pm, Sky Sports 1

Lay Manchester United at 3.5 with Betfair

We made some money getting with Manchester United against West Ham at the weekend – and you have to say that was a great goal by Wayne Rooney. But I’m against them in tonight’s Manchester derby. It’s not just a perception that David Moyes’ men are having a rough old time of it against top teams – it’s backed up by the statistics.

In fact, based on a table made up of results against the teams currently in the top half of the Premier League, United (5/2 tonight) would be only 13th. In 14 attempts against top half teams they have won only twice, drawn four and lost eight times! That’s a worse record than the likes of Aston Villa, Norwich, Stoke, West Brom and Sunderland. And in Manchester City (23/20 for the win) they play the team with the best record of all against top half teams – nine wins, two draws and two defeats. It’s not like United have been able to rely on their home form either. In fact they have failed to win more times than they have done so, and their record of six wins, three draws and five defeats at home is only the 12th best home record in the division.

Indeed their home goal difference is only plus three (the same as Swansea and Norwich). Sure, they are in the quarter finals of the Champions League. But in my opinion they came through the softest group (second placed Bayern Leverkusen were battered 6-1 over two legs in the knockout stages). Olympiakos, who they only just knocked out last week, were lucky to come through against Juventus on a pudding of a pitch in the first place. I seriously doubt United would have knocked out Juve. And yes, they are on a decent run – fifth in the eight-match form table in the Premier League. But so are Manchester City, who have won six of their last eight with a goal difference of plus 15 in that run.

The bottom line here is that City are starting to bristle with confidence again after a bit of a blip. They have better players in most positions and they are no longer afraid of Manchester United. Some might say that 5/2 is a great price about Manchester United at home at any time. I don’t agree. I think City, who are now fully focused on the Premier League and know what they need to do to overhaul Chelsea are too strong. Laying United makes the draw a winner for us, and that’s the way I will be going.

Advices

The first feature flat race of the season – the William Hill Lincoln – takes place this Saturday at Doncaster and Boylesports report plenty of money for Whispering Warrior who is 12/1 but can be backed at 14/1 in places. Another horse for money has been Tullius, who is 16/1 having initially been installed at 25/1. Last year’s winner Levitate runs again and is best price 20/1 with Bet365. Captain Cat and Gabrials Kaka are also vying for favouritism is what looks a very difficult puzzle to solve.

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