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John Rentoul

John Rentoul is chief political commentator for The Independent on Sunday, and visiting professor at Queen Mary, University of London, where he teaches contemporary history. Previously he was chief leader writer for The Independent. He has written a biography of Tony Blair, whom he admired more at the end of his time in office than he did at the beginning. Click here and 'like' to receive updates on Facebook

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More Labour voters “seriously consider” voting UKIP, Eagle Eye

More Labour voters “seriously consider” voting UKIP

Labour’s lead has been halved from six points to three in a ComRes opinion poll for The Independent on Sunday, shared with the Sunday Mirror.
Con 31% (+2)
Lab 34% (-1)
Lib Dem 7% (0)
UKIP 19% (0)
Green 4% (0)
Other [...]

By | Eagle Eye | Saturday, 18 October 2014 at 7:26 pm

Poll alert, Eagle Eye

Poll alert

We have a ComRes opinion poll in The Independent on Sunday tomorrow, shared with the Sunday Mirror.
We have asked people how they intend to vote, and carried out an experiment to test the effect of prompting for UKIP. Survation is the only pollster that reminds respondents about UKIP in its standard voting-intention question. This produces [...]

By | Eagle Eye | Saturday, 18 October 2014 at 11:20 am

Ed Balls on mansion tax

Here is a full transcript of the Shadow Chancellor, one of our most interesting politicians, interviewed by Dermot Murnaghan on Sky News this morning.
DM: Why do you think you’ve lost your poll lead? Anything to do with [...]

By | Eagle Eye | Sunday, 5 October 2014 at 4:33 pm

ComRes poll: Farage as popular as Cameron, Eagle Eye

ComRes poll: Farage as popular as Cameron

Nigel Farage is viewed as favourably as David Cameron, according to a ComRes poll for The Independent on Sunday and Sunday Mirror tomorrow. The poll also finds that Labour has stretched its lead over the Conservatives to six points, and that Ed Miliband’s favourability rating has improved slightly despite his forgetting passages about the deficit [...]

By | Eagle Eye | Saturday, 27 September 2014 at 7:26 pm

Poll alert, Eagle Eye

Poll alert

We have a ComRes opinion poll in tomorrow’s Independent on Sunday, shared with the Sunday Mirror, which was taken in the three days following Ed Miliband’s conference speech. Our online poll last month had Labour two points ahead.
As well as asking how people intend to vote, we asked if they agreed or disagreed with the [...]

By | Eagle Eye | Saturday, 27 September 2014 at 11:30 am

Yvette Cooper’s speech to Labour conference 2014, Eagle Eye

Yvette Cooper’s speech to Labour conference 2014

I couldn’t find the text of Yvette Cooper’s speech to Labour conference yesterday online anywhere. It was a good and possibly important speech, so here it is:
Yvette Cooper MP, Labour’s Shadow Home Secretary, in a speech to Labour’s Annual Conference 2014 in Manchester, said:
You have seen Leyla’s incredible strength. Her fight for her daughter and [...]

By | Eagle Eye | Thursday, 25 September 2014 at 5:38 pm

Another straw breaks over Scotland, Eagle Eye

Another straw breaks over Scotland

After the YouGov and Panelbase opinion polls on Sunday, there were still straws at which those who want to keep the union could clutch. We could not say it was “just one poll”, but we could say that it was “just one polling company”, namely YouGov, that had showed support for a Yes vote surging.
That [...]

By | Eagle Eye | Tuesday, 9 September 2014 at 12:01 am

The Scottish independence gender gap in full, Eagle Eye

The Scottish independence gender gap in full

While we wait for YouGov’s next Scottish referendum poll for The Sunday Times tonight, here is my pull-together of data on the gender gap.
We wrote about it in The Independent on Sunday a year ago, when the gender gap in the three most recent polls (YouGov, Angus Reid and TNS) averaged 12 percentage points.
This means that [...]

By | Eagle Eye | Saturday, 6 September 2014 at 1:52 pm

Conservative image detoxified at last?, Eagle Eye

Conservative image detoxified at last?

Labour’s lead over the Conservatives remains squeezed, at two points, little changed from last month’s three-point margin, in the ComRes opinion poll for The Independent on Sunday tomorrow, shared with the Sunday Mirror. But the poll’s Favourability Index finds that the Conservative Party is viewed more favourably than Labour for the first time, suggesting that [...]

By | Eagle Eye | Saturday, 23 August 2014 at 7:28 pm

Poll alert, Eagle Eye

Poll alert

We have a ComRes opinion poll in tomorrow’s Independent on Sunday, shared with the Sunday Mirror.
Last month Labour had a three-point lead. This month we have resumed our Favourability Index, asking if people have a favourable or unfavourable view of:
• five parties, including the Scottish National Party, now that we are into the final month of [...]

By | Eagle Eye | Saturday, 23 August 2014 at 10:10 am

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