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A bothersome GDP breakdown, Chunomics

A bothersome GDP breakdown

None of this proves that the UK recovery is unsustainable. But there is nonetheless enough in these latest statistical breakdowns for policymakers to remain cautious.

By | Chunomics, Eagle Eye | Wednesday, 26 November 2014 at 5:50 pm

British politics is heading back to 1974, Eagle Eye

British politics is heading back to 1974

Suppose for a moment that you faced an upcoming General Election in which the governing Conservatives were pretty unpopular, having presided over a Parliament of economic crisis, domestic confrontation and ideological polarisation.
But presume also that, during that contest, the Government was faced with a relatively unpopular Labour Party tainted by its past handling of economic [...]

By | Eagle Eye | Wednesday, 26 November 2014 at 4:07 pm

The unpopularity of American power, Eagle Eye

The unpopularity of American power

I have a review of James Cronin’s new book, Global Rules, at Independent Voices. It is a high-quality history of the special relationship between America and Britain since the Second World War. It charts how the two countries shaped the rules of international trade and relations, and how this system survived the end of the [...]

By | Eagle Eye | Wednesday, 26 November 2014 at 3:35 pm

The Coalition’s regressive fiscal policies revealed, Chunomics

The Coalition’s regressive fiscal policies revealed

Which is the appropriate baseline for evaluating the distributional impact of the Coalition’s fiscal policies? The answer to that question would seem to be obvious.

By | Chunomics, Eagle Eye | Tuesday, 18 November 2014 at 2:14 pm

Labour holds 4-point lead over Conservatives, Eagle Eye

Labour holds 4-point lead over Conservatives

Ed Miliband’s leadership is boosted by the ComRes online poll for The Independent on Sunday tomorrow, shared with the Sunday Mirror, in which Labour holds a four-point lead over the Conservatives.
Lab 34% (0)
Con 30% (-1)
UKIP 19% (0)
Lib Dem 8% [...]

By | Eagle Eye | Saturday, 15 November 2014 at 7:26 pm

Poll alert, Eagle Eye

Poll alert

We have a ComRes poll in tomorrow’s Independent on Sunday, shared with the Sunday Mirror. Last month’s poll showed a three-point Labour lead.
In addition to voting intention we have asked if people agree or disagree with the following statements:
Ed Miliband did the right thing by giving money to the person begging in the street
Ed Miliband [...]

By | Eagle Eye | Saturday, 15 November 2014 at 11:37 am

Helping savers will not help the recovery, Chunomics

Helping savers will not help the recovery

If interest rates were to rise to around 2.5 per cent few savers would spend more. But, by contrast, many borrowers would spend less according to Bank of England research.

By | Chunomics, Eagle Eye | Friday, 14 November 2014 at 12:00 pm

India at last commemorates, with Britain, its role in the ‘forgotten’ 1914-18 war, Battle of Ideas

India at last commemorates, with Britain, its role in the ‘forgotten’ 1914-18 war

It has taken a century for Britain and India to commemorate more than 70,000 Indian troops who died fighting in World War One, and it has taken India over 60 years to decide fully to mark the fallen in that and later wars. Over 1.4m Indian volunteers served in Europe, Africa and elsewhere between 1914 [...]

By | Battle of Ideas, The Foreign Desk | Sunday, 9 November 2014 at 2:21 pm

How central bankers helped to save us all, Chunomics

How central bankers helped to save us all

A counterfactual economy without either monetary or fiscal loosening would probably have involved spiralling deflation and financial implosion, ending in total economic and social collapse.

By | Chunomics, Eagle Eye | Monday, 3 November 2014 at 1:28 pm

Narendra Modi merges myth and reality to say plastic surgery fixed Ganesh’s elephant head, Battle of Ideas

Narendra Modi merges myth and reality to say plastic surgery fixed Ganesh’s elephant head

India’s prime minister, Narendra Modi, has caused some consternation and controversy by saying to an audience of doctors and scientists last weekend that plastic surgery and genetic science existed and were in use thousands of years ago in ancient India. That, he said at the dedication of a hospital in Mumbai on October 25, was [...]

By | Battle of Ideas, The Foreign Desk | Thursday, 30 October 2014 at 4:20 pm

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