The question is whether the citizens of a future Scottish state believe that the apparent emotional and psychological benefits of independence outweigh the years of greater austerity and deflation that they will have to endure to secure the country’s material prosperity.
Scotland’s banks have vast balance sheets, worth more than twelve times the country’s £150bn GDP. The fiscal position of an independent Scotland could look better if they did re-domicile.
Public service spending per head in Scotland is is higher than in England. But it’s lower than in Northern Ireland and some English regions.
By citing the OECD view of the size of the structural deficit in 2007, and then sticking to the IFS narrative on the pace of austerity the Treasury seems to be guilty of cherry picking.
After the YouGov and Panelbase opinion polls on Sunday, there were still straws at which those who want to keep the union could clutch. We could not say it was “just one poll”, but we could say that it was “just one polling company”, namely YouGov, that had showed support for a Yes vote surging.
While we wait for YouGov’s next Scottish referendum poll for The Sunday Times tonight, here is my pull-together of data on the gender gap.
We wrote about it in The Independent on Sunday a year ago, when the gender gap in the three most recent polls (YouGov, Angus Reid and TNS) averaged 12 percentage points.
This means that [...]
The Conservatives will claims this upgrade as a vindication of their economic strategy. Critics will point out that growth would have been still higher without George Osborne’ front-loaded fiscal austerity. No change there then.
Labour’s lead over the Conservatives remains squeezed, at two points, little changed from last month’s three-point margin, in the ComRes opinion poll for The Independent on Sunday tomorrow, shared with the Sunday Mirror. But the poll’s Favourability Index finds that the Conservative Party is viewed more favourably than Labour for the first time, suggesting that [...]
We have a ComRes opinion poll in tomorrow’s Independent on Sunday, shared with the Sunday Mirror.
Last month Labour had a three-point lead. This month we have resumed our Favourability Index, asking if people have a favourable or unfavourable view of:
• five parties, including the Scottish National Party, now that we are into the final month of [...]
Yvette Cooper linked British jihadists in Syria and Iraq with the Government’s having “stopped” a lot of the Prevent anti-radicalisation programme, when she was on BBC News Channel this morning.
Here is the transcript:
Simon McCoy: While I have you here and in your role as Shadow Home Secretary, could I just ask you about the overnight [...]
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