Three points about the 2015 general election result.
1. Members of Parliament
Conservative 331, Labour 232, SNP 56, Lib Dem 8, DUP 8, Others 11. Sinn Fein (do not take their seats) 4.
Sky News says Conservative 330, but this is because it excludes the Speaker. It makes more sense to include him in the Conservative total (see [...]
With less than a week to go until the election, the Conservatives and Labour are tied in the latest ComRes telephone poll for the Independent on Sunday and the Sunday Mirror.
Both are on 33% of the vote, having both fallen two points since the last ComRes telephone poll (for the Daily Mail on Wednesday). If [...]
We have a ComRes opinion poll in The Independent on Sunday tomorrow, shared with the Sunday Mirror. This is our only poll of the campaign, and it has been carried out by telephone instead of online, as our usual series has been.
In addition to voting intention, we asked the following questions.
From what you have seen [...]
For now at least, talk of an “exodus” from UK debt and a “Gilts strike” looks premature.
Allowing me the freedom to take my pension as a lump sum on retirement will, likely as not, mean that I neglect my very old self in favour of my newly retired self.
I am grateful to Tom for asking a question that I couldn’t immediately answer. Actually, he merely pointed out that the Fixed-term Parliaments Act meant that votes on a Queen’s Speech (a government’s programme for a new session of Parliament) or a Budget could no longer be declared matters of confidence and therefore could not [...]
Ed Balls, the shadow Chancellor, was on Pienaar’s Politics on BBC Radio 5 Live. It was interesting because John Pienaar put to him some of the things that George Osborne might do in the Budget, and Balls seemed to be trying out lines for Labour’s response – although that will be delivered, according to convention, [...]
The Green surge appears to have stalled after Natalie Bennett, the party leader (right), suffered what she called a “brain fade” in a radio interview last month, according to a ComRes poll for The Independent on Sunday and the Sunday Mirror. The Green Party has dropped four points in the Favourability Index since January, putting [...]
We have a ComRes opinion poll in The Independent on Sunday tomorrow, shared with the Sunday Mirror. Last month we had a two-point Labour lead.
This time we have repeated our Favourability Index, asking if people have a favourable or unfavourable view of six parties – Labour, Conservative, UKIP, Lib Dem, SNP and Greens – and [...]
The Indian government is adept at shooting itself in the foot, especially on social issues. In the past three days, it has done this spectacularly by trying – and failing – to impose an international ban on an hour-long film, India’s Daughter, about an horrific and fatal rape that shocked the world when it took place on [...]
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