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Poll alert, Eagle Eye

Poll alert

We have a ComRes opinion poll in tomorrow’s Independent on Sunday, shared with the Sunday Mirror, which was taken in the three days following Ed Miliband’s conference speech. Our online poll last month had Labour two points ahead.
As well as asking how people intend to vote, we asked if they agreed or disagreed with the [...]

By | Eagle Eye | Saturday, 27 September 2014 at 11:30 am

Yvette Cooper’s speech to Labour conference 2014, Eagle Eye

Yvette Cooper’s speech to Labour conference 2014

I couldn’t find the text of Yvette Cooper’s speech to Labour conference yesterday online anywhere. It was a good and possibly important speech, so here it is:
Yvette Cooper MP, Labour’s Shadow Home Secretary, in a speech to Labour’s Annual Conference 2014 in Manchester, said:
You have seen Leyla’s incredible strength. Her fight for her daughter and [...]

By | Eagle Eye | Thursday, 25 September 2014 at 5:38 pm

What’s really happened to NHS spending under the Coalition?, Chunomics

What’s really happened to NHS spending under the Coalition?

If Jeremy Hunt had used the day-to-day measure of spending his political point about Labour’s plans would have been blunted.

By | Chunomics, Eagle Eye | Thursday, 25 September 2014 at 12:56 pm

Scottish independence makes no economic sense whatsoever, Eagle Eye

Scottish independence makes no economic sense whatsoever

The question is whether the citizens of a future Scottish state believe that the apparent emotional and psychological benefits of independence outweigh the years of greater austerity and deflation that they will have to endure to secure the country’s material prosperity.

By | Eagle Eye | Monday, 15 September 2014 at 3:45 pm

How Scotland could be better off without its big banks, Chunomics

How Scotland could be better off without its big banks

Scotland’s banks have vast balance sheets, worth more than twelve times the country’s £150bn GDP. The fiscal position of an independent Scotland could look better if they did re-domicile.

By | Chunomics, Eagle Eye | Friday, 12 September 2014 at 10:58 am

Are the Scots really sucking up a massive subsidy?, Chunomics

Are the Scots really sucking up a massive subsidy?

Public service spending per head in Scotland is is higher than in England. But it’s lower than in Northern Ireland and some English regions.

By | Chunomics, Eagle Eye | Wednesday, 10 September 2014 at 12:27 pm

How profligate was Labour by international standards?, Chunomics

How profligate was Labour by international standards?

By citing the OECD view of the size of the structural deficit in 2007, and then sticking to the IFS narrative on the pace of austerity the Treasury seems to be guilty of cherry picking.

By | Chunomics, Eagle Eye | Tuesday, 9 September 2014 at 4:47 pm

Another straw breaks over Scotland, Eagle Eye

Another straw breaks over Scotland

After the YouGov and Panelbase opinion polls on Sunday, there were still straws at which those who want to keep the union could clutch. We could not say it was “just one poll”, but we could say that it was “just one polling company”, namely YouGov, that had showed support for a Yes vote surging.
That [...]

By | Eagle Eye | Tuesday, 9 September 2014 at 12:01 am

The Scottish independence gender gap in full, Eagle Eye

The Scottish independence gender gap in full

While we wait for YouGov’s next Scottish referendum poll for The Sunday Times tonight, here is my pull-together of data on the gender gap.
We wrote about it in The Independent on Sunday a year ago, when the gender gap in the three most recent polls (YouGov, Angus Reid and TNS) averaged 12 percentage points.
This means that [...]

By | Eagle Eye | Saturday, 6 September 2014 at 1:52 pm

How has the picture of the UK economy changed?, Chunomics

How has the picture of the UK economy changed?

The Conservatives will claims this upgrade as a vindication of their economic strategy. Critics will point out that growth would have been still higher without George Osborne’ front-loaded fiscal austerity. No change there then.

By | Chunomics, Eagle Eye | Wednesday, 3 September 2014 at 1:37 pm


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