I have not yet seen the derangement that will afflict the press tomorrow, but have now found the source for my third point about the Chilcot inquiry. Far from today’s announcement being a change imposed on the Committee, Sir John made it clear that he would be publishing “gists” in his update of July 2012:
I have resisted so far getting the Rebuttal Service logo out of storage, but now that Sir John Chilcot, the Inquiry chairman, has finally said something, I, like he, can delay no longer. Sir John has just published a letter of agreement between him and Sir Jeremy Heywood, the Cabinet Secretary, about the “principles that [...]
I have a comment on Independent Voices about the attempted coup against Nick Clegg.
Vince Cable has just been on television from China, with a motorway in the background, talking about his Reginald fitzUrse, Matthew Oakeshott. Here is a full transcript:
I was aware that he was conducting other polls around the country and I was certainly [...]
Survation carried out an unusual poll for the Mail on Sunday, asking people to watch a one-minute video of five possible Labour leaders and then to answer questions about them. The figures given in the newspaper are for respondents who voted Labour in 2010;* I would have thought we were more interested in the views [...]
Nigel Farage has been vindicated. He was the first important person in UKIP to realise the significance of proportional representation when it was introduced for the 1999 European Parliament election, according to Robert Ford and Matthew Goodwin in Revolt on the Right.
Farage became chairman of the party in his mid-30s after Alan Sked, the founding [...]
Some customer resistance to the claim in my column for The Independent on Sunday that Labour’s results in the local elections last week were “not good enough”. Typical Blairite rubbish, no more than you would expect from, um, Ed Balls.
If the “Blair’s gone you know” people would care to pay attention to what the Shadow [...]
Chris Giles on Financial Times Blogs has done a superb piece of work, investigating Thomas Piketty’s acclaimed “comprehensive” statistics on the distribution of wealth, and has found that the numbers for several European countries are hard to explain.
I thought Piketty’s figures did not match the British statistics with which I was familiar, as I said [...]
Important article by Peter Kellner in next month’s Prospect about the changing relationship between class and voting. This takes me back to my early days in political journalism, not just because I learned so much from Kellner when he was political editor of the New Statesman in the 1980s, but because a debate raged then in academic [...]
Theresa May, the Home Secretary, has just addressed the second-most ferocious trade union in the western world, the Police Federation. The most ferocious is of course the British Medical Association, and the Federation has suffered a bit of a setback recently in its handling of the Andrew Mitchell Gategate.
All praise to May, therefore, for taking [...]
In The Independent tomorrow, ComRes launches a new “Battlebus” poll in 40 of the most marginal Conservative-Labour seats.
The figures are:
Con 33% (-4)
Lab 35% (-2)
LibDem 8% (-10)
UKIP 17% (+14)
Other 7% (+2)
Figures in brackets show changes since the 2010 general election results across the constituencies. These are the numbers to focus on. Labour is doing better than [...]
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