While rate increases should be some way off yet, improvements in a range of economic indicators mean that ever more attention is set to shift towards the question of how and when monetary policy tightens. While calls for action are likely to build, the avoidance of premature movement will be vital.
I have been struck by one of those rare moments of sympathy for Nick Clegg. The instrument of my temporary conversion is Jeremy Paxman, whose public service in exposing the vacuous hypocrisy of Russell Brand has been substantially negated by his decision to expose his own hypocrisy in the Radio Times.
He revealed that he hadn’t [...]
I return to the subject of “iron laws” in politics in my column in The Independent on Sunday today. For all those who so enjoyed the Electoral Calculus chart, which I used, with permission, a while ago, here is an update.
This, the most complicated chart that is actually quite useful, plots the opinion-poll ratings of [...]
This is a curious list, but I’m on it, so it must be good. It’s the PeerIndex list of the top 140 influential UK Twitter accounts. I just scrape in at number 134.
The curiosities are that I am categorised as “Entertainment/Journalism”, which I take as a Reithian compliment, and that the list says it excludes [...]
I have an article in The Independent and i today, about what can be learned from Tony Blair. Many others have commented on different things that he said, and the transcript of his question and answer session at the Mile End Group on Monday will yield much more.
Hopi Sen is typically brilliant in advising people [...]
Chuka Umunna struck an impressive measured tone in his speech on class, race and aspiration today, at his old law firm, Herbert Smith, now Herbert Smith Freehills. The full text is here.
He is just about the only front-bench Labour politician who talks approvingly about a society in which people from deprived estates can “make their [...]
I have a post up on Independent Voices about the energy company bosses giving evidence to the energy and climate change select committee this afternoon.
Tony Blair came to talk to the Mile End Group at Queen Mary University of London this morning. It was a seminar about “How Government Works” (as opposed to how academic theory says government works), and the video and transcript are up on the Mile End Group website.
Here he is with Dr Jon Davis, director [...]
I suspect that what most people are getting at when they ask whether we are seeing a bubble or not is something different. What they really mean is: are houses too expensive?
I fear I may have oborned* this one. I write in The Independent on Sunday about why I think the Conservatives are likely to win the 2015 election. “From now on, the facts of economic life are Conservative.”
As pointed out by my esteemed colleague Tom Peck, this contradicts the Electoral Calculus Monster Chart of Polls [...]
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