Eagle Eye

Kellner’s Law rewritten, Eagle Eye

Kellner’s Law rewritten

Just as I thought I had got the Four Square Rule firmly imprinted on my brain – that the Conservatives need to be four points ahead in share of the vote to be the largest party at the election next year – Peter Kellner returns from another trip up the mountain with a new tablet.
He has [...]

By | Eagle Eye | Monday, 16 June 2014 at 5:14 pm

Clare Short and the language of the Iraq debate, Eagle Eye

Clare Short and the language of the Iraq debate

Just caught up with Clare Short and John McTernan on BBC2 Newsnight on Friday (starts at 24 minutes in).
Unfortunately, Laura Kuenssberg introduces Short as a Cabinet minister who “resigned in protest at the decision to invade Iraq”. She was a member of the government and voted for military action against Saddam Hussein. She resigned after [...]

By | Eagle Eye | Sunday, 15 June 2014 at 8:00 pm

Prince William more popular than Queen, Eagle Eye

Prince William more popular than Queen

Prince William is more popular than the Queen, according to a ComRes poll for tomorrow’s Independent on Sunday, shared with the Sunday Mirror. Prince Charles is less favourably regarded, being only a little more popular than Boris Johnson, the highest-scoring politician on the list.
The poll puts Labour’s lead over the Conservatives at two points, the [...]

By | Eagle Eye | Saturday, 14 June 2014 at 7:31 pm

Poll alert, Eagle Eye

Poll alert

We have a ComRes opinion poll in The Independent on Sunday tomorrow, shared with the Sunday Mirror. As well as asking people how they would vote in a general election, we have re-run the Favourability Index, asking whether people have a favourable or unfavourable view of leading politicians and, this week, three members of the [...]

By | Eagle Eye | Saturday, 14 June 2014 at 11:09 am

The Kinnock Comparison, Eagle Eye

The Kinnock Comparison

Before last week’s Newark by-election slips into the quiz night and footnote retrieval system, it is worth noting again what a good result it was for David Cameron.
Everyone has pointed out – I did two Sundays ago – that it was the first time the Tories have held onto a seat while they are in government since [...]

By | Eagle Eye | Friday, 13 June 2014 at 10:02 pm

Notes on Iraq, Eagle Eye

Notes on Iraq

Quite hard to keep up with the strangeness of views about Iraq, but let me note three things.
1. The advance of Islamist militia from Syria to Mosul is a disaster. To the extent that it was made possible by the US-led invasion of Iraq 11 years ago, it counts against that decision. But anyone who [...]

By | Eagle Eye | Friday, 13 June 2014 at 12:42 pm

“That leaves me apprehensive”, Eagle Eye

“That leaves me apprehensive”

Nugget from Jim Pickard in the Financial Times (registration):
Katherine Peacock, head of pollsters ComRes, has carried out focus groups where pictures of Mr Miliband are superimposed on 10 Downing Street. “The general reaction is, ‘that leaves me apprehensive, or even a little scared’ or ‘he doesn’t inspire confidence’,” she says. A common reaction is “they [...]

By | Eagle Eye | Friday, 13 June 2014 at 11:20 am

Adair Turner: the full transcript, Chunomics

Adair Turner: the full transcript

* Backs a 50p top rate of tax, but not a mansion tax
* Admits that the merger of Lloyds and HBOS during the financial crisis was a mistake
* Treasury resisted pressure from former Bank of England Governor Mervyn King to put more capital into RBS
* Outlines why he disagrees with the present Governor, Mark Carney, on the desirability of rising debt to GDP levels

By | Chunomics, Eagle Eye | Thursday, 12 June 2014 at 9:56 am

Is the lake pictured on every iPad secretly cursed?, Eagle Eye

Is the lake pictured on every iPad secretly cursed?

If I had not wound up my series of Questions To Which The Answer Is No (book still available here), this would be a jewel of the collection:
Is the lake pictured on every iPad secretly CURSED by the ghosts of disabled babies who were thrown into its waters because they wouldn’t survive?
To which the answer [...]

By | Eagle Eye | Wednesday, 11 June 2014 at 4:15 pm

Cameron the productivity destroyer, Chunomics

Cameron the productivity destroyer

It’s one-eyed to hype the jobs figures over the past four years without mentioning the fact that output growth has been abysmal.

By | Chunomics, Eagle Eye | Wednesday, 11 June 2014 at 2:05 pm

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