Eagle Eye

Poll alert, Eagle Eye

Poll alert

We have a ComRes opinion poll in The Independent on Sunday tomorrow, shared with the Sunday Mirror.
In addition to asking people how they intend to vote, we asked if people agree or disagreed with the following statements:
Politicians have probably covered up child sex abuse by other senior politicians in the past
Allegations of child sex abuse [...]

By | Eagle Eye | Saturday, 19 July 2014 at 10:33 am

What Harriet Said And What Harriet Meant, Eagle Eye

What Harriet Said And What Harriet Meant

Labour was embarrassed at PMQs by David Cameron reading out something Harriet Harman had said on LBC yesterday. But if you read the full transcript, helpfully provided by the Conservatives, it would seem that she was trying to explain why middle-income people pay more in tax than those on lower incomes.
Embarrassment over.
Questioner: I would like to [...]

By | Eagle Eye | Wednesday, 16 July 2014 at 12:55 pm

Iraq’s WMD and the Test of Reasonableness, Eagle Eye

Iraq’s WMD and the Test of Reasonableness

Cross-post by Mugwump.
This 9,000-word article looks at why intelligence services around the world were so sure that Saddam Hussein had weapons of mass destruction in 2003. I re-post it here because it is an impressive piece of work, bringing together evidence from a wide range of sources.
Photo of soldiers from the 3rd Brigade, 1st Cavalry [...]

By | Eagle Eye | Tuesday, 8 July 2014 at 1:48 pm

Those incredible spending cuts continued…, Chunomics

Those incredible spending cuts continued…

The collective day-to-day spending of all those other departments – Business, Home Office, Justice, Environment, Culture etc – would fall from £94.6bn in 2011/12 to just £29.7bn in 2018/19. That’s a real terms cut of 70%.

By | Chunomics, Eagle Eye | Monday, 7 July 2014 at 2:09 pm

The Rentoul Media Empire, Eagle Eye

The Rentoul Media Empire

Further to my post yesterday about more of my stuff appearing on Independent Voices, The Independent and The Independent on Sunday’s online and print comment section, and less of it appearing on the blog, the boffins have told me that there is an RSS feed on my author page, which includes my daily catch-up feature: [...]

By | Eagle Eye | Friday, 4 July 2014 at 10:40 am

Austerity is set to make poverty worse, Chunomics

Austerity is set to make poverty worse

Two-thirds of children in poverty are from households where at least one parent is in work, compared to only two-fifths in 1996.

By | Chunomics, Eagle Eye | Tuesday, 1 July 2014 at 4:43 pm

Jobs Gloom for Ed Miliband, Eagle Eye

Jobs Gloom for Ed Miliband

I have a comment at Independent Voices on news of a skills shortage emerging in the jobs market. In this case, Ed Miliband’s difficulty in filling a vacancy for a “Head of the Leader’s Broadcasting”.
Increasingly, that is where my comments will appear. I have also moved the Catch-Up Service to Independent Voices, doing a weekday [...]

By | Eagle Eye | Tuesday, 1 July 2014 at 4:33 pm

If Miliband got it right, Cameron would be finished, Eagle Eye

If Miliband got it right, Cameron would be finished

A bit slow getting to the article in yesterday’s Times (pay wall) by Dominic Cummings, Michael Gove’s brilliant former special adviser. He says he recently conducted focus groups in marginal constituencies with people who voted Conservative in 2010 but who were unlikely to do so next year. This research was for Business for Britain, the [...]

By | Eagle Eye | Friday, 27 June 2014 at 12:30 pm

Is business investment really back this time?, Chunomics

Is business investment really back this time?

I think it’s reasonable to hope business investment growth will, this time, be sustained. But after the disappointments of recent years we should be wary of taking anything for granted.

By | Chunomics, Eagle Eye | Friday, 27 June 2014 at 11:40 am

Don’t underestimate the productivity gap, Chunomics

Don’t underestimate the productivity gap

Ian McCafferty is implicitly assuming that trend productivity growth has been lost forever and the only element to be explained is the shortfall relative to 2007. That makes the rest of his analysis, I would argue, inherently pessimistic.

By | Chunomics, Eagle Eye | Wednesday, 25 June 2014 at 2:30 pm

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