Cartloads of mud have been thrown at the president of Georgia, Mikheil Saakashvili, by his erstwhile fans this week. We read in the the newspapers that the increasingly wild-eyed and perspiring Mr Saakashvili, once the darling of the West, has over-reached himself by expecting Nato support in his "gamble" taking on the Russian bear.
We cannot know what whispers or taps on the shoulder from Nato might have preceded last week's Georgian offensive to bring South Ossetia under control of the central government. But a central plank of the Saakashvili government since it was first elected in the "Rose revolution" has been that of Georgian territorial integrity, to be restored by ending the "frozen conflicts" of the 1990s.
After Western leaders sat on their hands and failed to give Georgia a clear timetable for Nato membership last April, while holding out that possibility, what could be more natural than for Mr Saakashvili to try once again to bring the rebellious regions under control. It must have been obvious that Nato would never allow any state with separatist entities and/or enclaves to join the alliance.
And let's not forget the economic pressures he was under: Moscow had brought in embargoes affecting Georgia's most precious exports - wine and water - followed by cuts in postal and transport links. And why? Simply because Georgia wants to be in the Western camp rather than in the Kremlin's. He didn't need to be paranoid to believe that the Russians are out to get him.
Of course one can have sympathy with the Kremlin fears about losing Russia's strategic depth as one by one, the former Soviet republics join the EU and/or Nato. But Mr Saakashvili has quite a few things that Western leaders lack - including a genuine popular mandate from a majority of the population.
So while it can be argued that Saakashvili needs to be saved from himself, this western-leaning government actually does deserve saving.


Complete rubbish. those two regions had a monitored referendum in the 90's to be separate. He is a war criminal and deserves everything he is getting-he started this
Posted by: graham | Tuesday, 12 August 2008 at 10:44 AM
It's quite easy to have "genuine popular mandate" when you control all the media in your country and have immense financial and political support from the USA.
Posted by: Ivan Skalauh | Tuesday, 12 August 2008 at 10:44 AM
From Der Spiegel: "But none of this was enough to deter Georgian President Mikhail Saakashvili when he ordered his army to invade Tskhinvali, the capital of separatist South Ossetia, a region in the center of Georgia, on Thursday night. Skirmishes had been going on for weeks, and on Thursday evening Saakashvili had even announced a ceasefire. But then, at around midnight, Georgian forces attacked in an effort "to reestablish constitutional order," as a high-ranking Georgian general described it.
Within hours Georgian units, using rockets and fighter jets, had apparently demolished entire streets of Tskhinvali. The "president" of South Ossetia, Eduard Kokoity, a former freestyle wrestler, said on Friday evening that an estimated 1,400 people had died and characterized the Georgian invasion as ethnic cleansing."
Georgia started this conflict. Russia ended it. Did they act any differently than we would?
Posted by: Mike | Tuesday, 12 August 2008 at 11:10 AM
One has to be totaly paranoid to attack St.Osetia during Olimpic Games. Has he not read the history of the 1956 Hungarian revolt or the 1968 Prague Spring.
The only text which makes sence in the above article is the following...wild-eyed and perspiring Mr Saakashvili...
Posted by: Vassil Dragulev | Tuesday, 12 August 2008 at 11:13 AM
President Saakashvili is a lunatic and very dengerous person. His decision to increase the military budget of georgia rather than budgets of education, healthcare and other social programmes, served two aims: 1. to severely crush any kind of opposition from poor, dissatisfied and oppressed citizens within georgia and 2. to attack breakaway regions.
he became president in january 2004 and in august 2004 he started conflict in the south issetia region. many soldiers and civilians died, millions wasted with no result. russians did not cross the georgian border then.
it should have been a good lesson for saakashvili and georgian people to push only for peaceful resolution of the conflicts. but...
saakashvili survived misterious death/murder of prime minister Zurab Zhvania, terrorising and bitting of his own citizens, usurping of power, encouraging injustice and fear, etc.
russian invasion, as rediculuos as it might sound from me, a georgian (i love my country and it gives me a huge pain what is going on in my country because of stupid and reckless saakashvili), is a good opportunity to get rid of despotic saakashvili. I personally do not want Georgian Mugabe in my poor country to rule forever.
good buy saakashvili. hope to see you tried in the tribunal for the disaster you caused to georgia and its poor, depressed, weak, ill and devastated people.
Posted by: georgian | Tuesday, 12 August 2008 at 11:19 AM
"what could be more natural than for Mr Saakashvili to try once again to bring the rebellious regions under control."
Well, how about the fact,as Graham notes above, that the South Ossetians voted to leave Georgia?
If it is ok for Saakashvili to override that democratic wish, presumably Anne Penketh would go along with the Russian genocide in Chechenya, where Yeltsin and Putin deployed exactly the same argument for justifying their vicious assault on the expressed democratic will of the people there. Funnily enough, in the absence of a pipeline and of Christians, the American Government still seem fairly relaxed about that one!
There is no easily recognisable right or wrong here, beyond the fact that the Ossetians understandable wish to determine their own destiny is being wilfully manipulated by all the other parties.
Posted by: Adrian Cruden | Tuesday, 12 August 2008 at 11:21 AM
Saakashvili is no more of a democrat than Medvedev or Putin. He just speaks better English. The idea of endlessly extending Nato is crazy and will one day land the West in a disaster (of its own making). Imagine where we would be now if Georgia were already in Nato! Nato should have been dissolved after the collapse of the Soviet Union and replaced with something that included Russia. China is the West's inevitable future enemy, and Russia would have been a natural ally in containing China, except Nato expansion and other stupid American and European paranoia about Russia have probably spoiled the chances of this forever.
Posted by: Mkono | Tuesday, 12 August 2008 at 11:23 AM
Peace was maintained...the conflict was frozen. Saakshvilly (Georgian president who is desperately clinging to power ever since he has murdered his own opposition) has brutally assassinated my Olympic experience (watching the games and counting medals). He also has obliterated the capital of South Osetia with 1500 buried under ruble by attacking the city on 8/8/08. What NATO adviser has patted Saakshvilly on the shoulder or gave the advice for advancement against breakaway region during the times of truth (Olympics?)...let alone for killing the people he means to rule over? I doubt there is any serious NATO or US adviser who did not count the presence of Russian troops across the ridge? It is clear to me that Saakshvilly acted on his own ill advice and he is NUTs... and he broke the Olympic truth.
Georgian people should rid of him and his advisers in a bloodless coup ASAP...and try to rebuild good neighbourhood relationship enjoyed just prior to 2006.
While Oseatia and Abhasia are likely gone the way of Kosovo towards Russian protectorate....
and as for me...I hope this operation is over tomorrow , Russia saves the peace again, and I may watch the Olympics. Gees...
Posted by: Gib Gnab | Tuesday, 12 August 2008 at 11:32 AM
Sakashvilli is a complete fool if he thinks he can get the west to support his treachery. The west now knows very clearly the line that Russia now presents. Like ALL Russians, wherever they may be, can expect the support of their country. To those wishing to attack Iran they should take note that there are many Russians living and working on projects in Iran. They might consider the outcome should any of them die in an 'adventure' of a bombing sort. Also like it or not Russia is intertwined with the west not only for oil but in the fight against terrorism. Lose that help and it will impact on the west in a big way. Now we all know where we stand and that includes the USA. I read Cameron is huffing and puffing, perhaps he will tell us if he would contemplate attacking Russia. I rather think the little general should confine his over puffed ego to more fives practice at Eton, where he is better suited.
Posted by: Alan | Tuesday, 12 August 2008 at 11:37 AM
So what is the point of this article?
That NATO should nurture and go to war for every irresponsible idiot that applies to join?
The author seems to think so. And the precedent was unfortunately set when NATO supported the criminal gangs of Kosovo.
Posted by: george | Tuesday, 12 August 2008 at 11:39 AM
Results of Georgian attack
rb.ru/photo/176877.jpg
rb.ru/photo/176957.jpg
rb.ru/photo/176907.jpg
Posted by: Ilya | Tuesday, 12 August 2008 at 11:43 AM
Typical skewed western media. Sakashvilli is the real villain and as has been noted should be tried as a war criminal. The majority of the 2000 civilian deaths are attributable to Georgia's attack on South Ossetia last friday. I'm sure that he wouldn't have gone ahead with this disastrous gamble without a green light from his masters. Neocon and zionist dna is all over the crime scene. I'm just glad that Bush hadn't managed to strong arm European powers into offering early NATO membership to this belicose rogue otherwise we would be facing Armaggedon.
Posted by: George | Tuesday, 12 August 2008 at 11:49 AM
Our analysis in Russia - if we don't protect South Osetians - the entire Osetia will be another Chechnya, snowball for other ethnic regions in Russia. Who has advised and helped Saakashvili is obvious.
Posted by: Konstantin | Tuesday, 12 August 2008 at 12:01 PM
How on earth can any of you be so sure! i could be georgia that started it or Russia, we cannot know. It is all dependent on which media you follow. I´ve been trying since day one to find independent news from the area but so far all seems like the traditional propaganda. If any of you so certain folks no of any independent reports please share. for all of this sound like the usual misleadings of regular press.
Posted by: NOn | Tuesday, 12 August 2008 at 12:07 PM
Putin is a despot in the making somewhere down the line the Russians will come to regret the choosing this man. Then it will be too late
Posted by: wolfgang | Tuesday, 12 August 2008 at 12:33 PM
You may have a point there, but I am sorry to tell you, your article is INCOMPLETE. As you try defending him, I would like to ask you to kindly mention how the President of Georgia decided to "reunite" his country.
What he did is horrible, and he must pay for that, in an international tribunal. His crimes against humanity must be punished. He has no excuse, and will never have an excuse for what he did there, and for what? To join NATO? Is this the "democratic" way of the West? How different is it from the Kremlin?
Need not I remind you, of what Mr. Bush did in Iraq and Afghanistan in order to "enforce" democracy.
If these are your true feelings about the comflict, I am sorry but your thinking is wrong.
Posted by: George Tabacar | Tuesday, 12 August 2008 at 12:42 PM
Wrong, Mikheil Saakashvili has now been exposed as an idiotic buffoon.
Posted by: Arsenal | Tuesday, 12 August 2008 at 12:59 PM
There is no free media in Georgia. After the May 21 parliamentary elections in which Saakashvili claimed a constitutional majority television and radio stations were under threat. In fact, there is only one television station (Rustavi 2) left with permission to air any news at all. The station, as it happens, is owned and operated by the Georgian government. The regime has systematically, detained "criminal" elements opposed to Saakashvili's reign of terror. In the last two weeks six members of the major opposition party, the Labor Party, were detained by police and arrested for phony money laundering charges. There is no judicial system, because the flotilla of so called and highly corrupt judges have been personally appointed by Saakashvili himself. The charismatic head of the opposition party, a highly respected, extremely popular and talented professor of law, Shalva Natelashvili, is now a target. Government officials, according to taped conversations, threatened to murder his teenage children and his wife, a high school teacher. He was informed by a government official that his fate would rest in a 6-foot by 3-foot jail cell in Tbilisi One, reputed to be the filthiest, rat infested, disease ridden prison in the world.
Posted by: Bob Bennett | Tuesday, 12 August 2008 at 01:15 PM
Russia has been increasing the pressure on Georgia for years and eagerly awaiting an opportunity to overthrow the Saakashvili government. The sanctions on exports are just one aspect of this. In January 2006 Russia bombed the main gas supply pipeline into Georgia leaving the majority of the citizens surviving in harsh winter conditions with no electricity. This is just one example, there are many others, sadly these sorts of events aren't reported in the international media and as such no-one has any real idea of what goes on between Russia and Georgia. Russia is very good at twisting the facts to suit its own preferred interpretation (it is never at fault and never the aggressor) and with no free press in the country the propaganda machine is given free rein. One thing is for sure the Georgians may not be perfect, but the Russians aren't the peacemakers they like to make themselves out to be - why continue with sustained bombing raids as far into Georgia as Tbilisi when the Georgians had already called a ceasefire and the conflict is in South Ossetia? Now today we hear Russia is patting itself on the back for having "punished" Georgia before calling a ceasefire which just happens to coincide with Sarkozy's visit. Impecable timing - but also interesting to hear of self declared "peacekeepers" being responsible for punishing an entire country. If the Georgians want to get rid of the Saakashvili administration that's a matter for them not for Russia.
Posted by: Richenda | Tuesday, 12 August 2008 at 01:17 PM
Yesterday (Finally!) I saw one audio report of the journalist from BBC who is speaking with S.Ossetians!It's relly true!But now I don't see this any more!Only the hiding of poor rabbit Saakashvili!
Why don't you look for russian websites in English?Videos?Photoes?Everybody wrights -Give me!I say- Find it yoyrself!If you want to be objective
Posted by: Larina Maria | Tuesday, 12 August 2008 at 01:39 PM
Only two words for those of you who believe any of the hypocrisy spouted by Russia and its ill informed supporters. Chechnya and Litvinenko.
Russians concerned about ethnic Ossetians? Please. They weren't so enamoured when the Chechnyans tried to break away. Russians concerned about the agressor being claimed to be the victim? They were pretty quick to play the victim when the trail of polonium ended up back in Moscow. And Russian Peacekeepers? Its as much of an oxymoron as American Intelligence.
Georgia isn't the most perfect democracy and they were misguided to try and take back the areas of South Ossetia not under their control (don't forget a third of the population in South Ossetia are ethnic Georgian) but don't fall for the Russian rhetoric.
Posted by: James Patrick | Tuesday, 12 August 2008 at 01:39 PM
to NOn?
you can use RussiaToday.com made by Englishmen
Posted by: uliana | Tuesday, 12 August 2008 at 01:48 PM
And one more. Russian troops aren't in Tbilisi and Gori!The head of georgian armi himself told on TV(I saw It!!!) that it was a mistake!They thouth that russians were coming!BBBBUUUT!They also added there were no russian tanks and soldiers!There were georgian tanks!ahhahaha!They were scared ot their own army))))How funny!But to BBC and CNN He said :"Russians are occupying Tbilisi"What a lier!!!!!!He signed the document with the PM of France and Finland to stop shooting and our people call S. Ossetians.They say they are being bombed in the sellars without water!Also G soldiers didn't allow wounded to be taken to hospitals.Poor wounded people if theu could run to Russia being shooting by G snipers in the Cordon Valley!
Posted by: Larina Maria | Tuesday, 12 August 2008 at 01:49 PM
to James Patrick
are you and your counrty so perfect?
want to know the truth - ask Ossetians who are hiding in Russia, ask the Chechens you mentioned, who are fighting against Georgian maniacs on Russia's side
Good luck!
Posted by: aliya | Tuesday, 12 August 2008 at 02:00 PM
You probably don't know that among georgian army an american journalist was found wounded.In our hospital he said that he was sent there for 2-3 hours during which they hoped to occupy South Ossetia and online tell the world that "democracy" by Saakashvili has come!by this action they wanted to provocate Russia to attack georgians ans save some ossetians who were lucky to survive!Then NATO opens its doors for a small poor country and attack Russia in media and with its army!Among georgian soldiers were also found afroamericans,people from Ukraine and other countries!Great game of Anglo-saxons and americans for oil and Russian occupation!!!
Posted by: Larina Maria | Tuesday, 12 August 2008 at 02:03 PM
I can understand all the arguments about the criminal ego of Putin and Saakashvili and the underlying macho culture of the Caucasus and Russia and all the lying and hypocrisy it entails. What interests me here is this "western-leaning" thing.
What is this? I assume Saakashvili does what he does because of his own egoist interest, and the interest of his supporters in Georgia. It is all local. The western connection is that Georgia seems to want some stable sort of "democracy" (Georgian style), to buy weapons from the West, and to join NATO. This doesn't make them western, and they are not under some sort of spell to do "western things".
What on earth is the significance of this "western thing"?
I am not sure I would call democracy "western" - it has something more universal - more commonly known as consensus politics in the pacific and more primitive societies. Many have a consultative and decision making process one could call democracy.
It is the same in Lebanon. Controlled for centuries by tribal or clannish elites, very oriental, but somehow they are labeled as "western supported" in the media - what effectively changed?
And please, no nonsense about "puppet governments", they don't exist. And just because GWB takes an interest in another country doesn't mean he controls anything they do - they all seem to do exactly what they want.
Posted by: phco | Tuesday, 12 August 2008 at 02:08 PM
Russia is very active with their propaganda and provocative lies. Russia's wider agenda, however, is the restortion of the Soviet Union. Russia wants to get rid of Georgia's pro-western and democratically elected government. Russian government also threatned with 'serious consequences', the Baltic States and Poland, during this crisis. Russia's actions in Georgia -aggression against independent state - was condemed by the West, escpecially by the U.S. Mr George Bush made that very clear in his speech yesterday, while Europe was acting 'in diplomatic manner', as usual.
Posted by: Kylliki/Estonia | Tuesday, 12 August 2008 at 02:21 PM
I write from Brazil and I am glad that the readers of THE INDEPENDENT didn't fall prey to the corporate midia campaign this time. Obviously not only a lunatic, the georgian president, also a "pawn in their game", just like Uribe (Colombia) and Olmert (Israel) before him: as you know, both started treacherous military operations in a moment when everybody else was unalert or else talking peace... The game, or the strategy, of course, is the "five naval US strike forces" preparing a blockade of Iran. Then Iran will defend, and will be accused of starting the war that they started.
Posted by: Moroni Barroso | Tuesday, 12 August 2008 at 02:45 PM
To Kylliki/Estonia
Just have one question to my estonian friend:
what do you think about 1600 ossetian civilians murdered in georgian artillery fire in Tschinval at night of 8th of august, when they slept in safety of their homes? Was not that horrific operation ordered by Saakashvilli? Have the ossetians been killed by the war criminals Or they are not enough pro-democratic to deserve their lives?
Posted by: Ele | Tuesday, 12 August 2008 at 03:00 PM
I can understand Estonians' suspicion of Russia and and of Russian motives. Russians need to work very hard to gain the trust of the Baltic states.
However, Kylliki's assertions are really baseless. And idolising the USA is extremely naive. The USA is supporting the ex-Soviet states not because it loves democracy, or the Estonian people but because they provide a strategic foothold in what was once the Russian sphere of influence.
This whole idea of missile defence in Eastern Europe is the same. It does nothing to protect Czech, or Poland or Estonia. It is simply designed to keep pressure on Russia.
Why? I don't know, probably a case of kicking your opponent when he's down. The US is the only world power and maybe it wants to keep it that way (whether that is a good thing is a different matter given the death and destruction they unleashed in Iraq).
The bottom line is that the ex-Soviet republics should sort out their own houses and look at establishing sound relationships with their neighbours to the east and the west. Neighbours typically have common interests in stability.
Posted by: george | Tuesday, 12 August 2008 at 03:12 PM
Dear Kylliki/Estonia. Are you sure that the US voice is the eternal truth? Are you sure a country is free while it only does what the US says to do? And this is a key difference between "the Baltic States and Poland" you mentioned and other European states (like Spain, France, Italy, Germany and Russia). And why do you confuse things The Soviet Union and new Russia?
Posted by: Leonid/Russia | Tuesday, 12 August 2008 at 03:23 PM
Kylliki/Estonia
Why don't you remember all the russians killed and put into prisons by Stalin??He was a georgian and killed my nation(russian)!You always CRY and blame us!But for what?We didn't do any harm to you!We found powers to create a new state and called it The Russian Federation!And you're blind if don't see that America and London are using your poor countries to weaken Russia and after that they will do the same with you!America and UK have been doing it for namy long years!They make us (all former Soviet republics) fight with each other!And people from Ukraine despite of all the efforts of Timoshenko want to live with russians in piece and protest against the entry in NATO!
Posted by: Larina Maria | Tuesday, 12 August 2008 at 03:23 PM
From the moment Saakashvili became President, his key accomplishment was in engaging in hotheaded banter and empty bravado.
Here’s a simple example to explain my point:
A hotheaded school bully (Saakashvili) goes and hits a much smaller fellow pupil (South Ossetia). The bully’s actions are being watched by a much smarter kid (Vladimir Putin) who comes to the rescue of the smaller pupil who is being bullied.
The smart kid (Putin) puts the smartass bully (Saakashvilli) in his place and then the bulging bully starts crying out to the world complaining that he’s being hit, that he’s a democrat and all that sort of empty banter.
I almost feel sorry for Saakashvilli. It surely must hurt to have to sport a bloodied nose and to live with a bruised ego for the remaining days of his political life.
Posted by: Kishan de Silva | Tuesday, 12 August 2008 at 03:48 PM
Why would anyone on this planet believe or even quote anything from George Bush, a total imbecile with an IQ of 92? How can the world stand by and allow the neo-con republicans to rule the world with their 750 foreign military bases. Russia only has 24 foreign military bases mostly in a state of disrepair. Poland and the Chech Republic are granting them 2 more. All these naive leaders. With their hands on their heart it's God Bless America and F...K the rest of the world, pretending to be their friends.
Posted by: Bob Bennett | Tuesday, 12 August 2008 at 04:08 PM
Georgia is a small country trying to be free from Russia. South Ossatia is a even smaller country trying to be free from Georgia. If Georgia doesn't allow South Ossetia to freedom, how can they ask freedom from Russia without contradicting?
Posted by: mynystry | Tuesday, 12 August 2008 at 04:39 PM
This aggression was planned by the Bush Administration with the support of Israel. They expected Russia to lay down. Instead just as in Lebanon the NeoCons got a bloody nose. Now they use the Corporate media to blame the Russians. Who started the war? There is no confusion. Georgia invaded Ossetia. If Kosovo has the right to be free (which I believe it does) then so does Ossetia. If Milosevic was a war criminal (which I believe he was) then so is SaaKashvili
Posted by: Andrew Rehm | Tuesday, 12 August 2008 at 04:47 PM
My response:
Well, we know that both Hitler and Stalin were massmurderers. How come, you wish to punish georgians because Stalin was a georgian, but at the same time you are shaking hands with germans.Russia has never condemned the crimes against humanity committed by Soviet communist regime. This is a ridiculous explanation, is that what your Kremlin-controlled press is telling you?! I have heard rather different views:
Essential reading:
Yelena Tregubova: Why I fled Putin's Russia. And why the West must appease him no longer
http://www.independent.co.uk/opinion/commentators/yelena-tregubova-why-i-fled-putins-russia-and-why-the-west-must-appease-him-no-longer-451724.html
Yelena Tregubova: The principles of the Gulag are still with us
http://www.independent.co.uk/opinion/commentators/yelena-tregubova-the-principles-of-the-gulag-are-still-with-us-885192.html
Nothing will justify Russia's cowardly actions in Georgia.
Posted by: Kylliki/Estonia | Tuesday, 12 August 2008 at 04:51 PM
Kylliki/Estonia
Could you please be so kindly to study the problem in depth. Why did not you provide links about Okruashvili for example. Who blames Saakashvili for "corruption, incompetency and human rights violations. He also raised new concerns around Zurab Zhvania's death, challenging the official investigation point of view and personally accused the Georgian president in planning the murder of businessman Badri Patarkatsishvili."
What are "cowardly actions"? What are you talking about?
Would you and your family want to be there in Tshinval when georgians in a cowardly manner begun to kill civilians peacefully sleeping at home?
The facts are
1)Gergians invaded South Osetia and 1600 people were killed within one night. 30000 refugees moved to Russia
2)Russia protected South Osetia. Thousands lifes have been saved.
All other things are Saakashvili's and proUS rhetoric.
Posted by: Leonid/Russia | Tuesday, 12 August 2008 at 05:22 PM
@Kylliki
Why do you condemn Russia's attack to Georgia, but you don't condemn Georgia's attack on South Ossetia? Politicians are corrupted liars (probably with very few exceptions); they just sit behind their desk and from there they make wars and terrible crimes. The ordinary people are the ones that suffer, specially the poor.
Many innocent people in South Ossetia and Georgia are dying. Politicians in both sides just care about their own interests, if people want to suffer less they have to join together and protect themselves.
Overthrow the tyrants!
Posted by: mynystry | Tuesday, 12 August 2008 at 05:24 PM
I live in Russia and see no Gulag here. How comes you see everything from your Estonia?
And more important question - is it your business at all, my hot Estonian friend?
Posted by: Ivan Skalauh | Tuesday, 12 August 2008 at 05:27 PM
Saakashvili's pledge to recapture South Ossetia and Abkhazia was pointless boasting. Since Georgian forces 'ethnically cleansed' Ossetian and Abkhazian civilians in the 1992-4 civil war - and did the same again recently - it wasn't idealistic either - just nationalistic. Russian forces in Abkhazia and South Ossetia ended that war in 1994 and largely kept the peace there until recently.
There isn't a lot to choose between Putin and Saakashvili and i'm all for a ceasefire and a Russian withdrawal from Georgia proper (i.e excepting Abkhazia and S. Ossetia) to stop both sides killing civilians, but according to the Georgian National Security Council Saakashvili's ceasefire proposal includes a demand for Russian withdrawal from South Ossetia. He knows the Russians will never agree to that. If he really wants peace he'll make a ceasefire offer of returning to the status quo that held from 1994 till the outbreak of the current war.
Posted by: Duncan McFarlane | Tuesday, 12 August 2008 at 05:51 PM
Guys, saakashvili never would make a decision to attack by himself, w/o previously getting blessings of the criminal administration (Bush/Cheney) of my country. No question, saakashvili is a criminal and an opportunist, but do not forget who the worst criminals are: Bush, Cheney, Rice, Rowe, Frist... the elite of the fascist Republican party of America.
Saakashvili is just another American/Israeli lackey like leaderships of "democracies" as Georgia, Ukraine, Poland, Latvia, Estonia, and other East European countries... Like persons such as Bush's lap-dog Blair, Italy's Berlusconi, Spain's Anzar...
These guys among with American fascists are enemies of humanity, enemies of progress and civilization.
Resist any ideas of those fascists and stand against them, demand for their punishment, or else they will make all humanity to pay the price as poor Ossetions did yesterday, poor Iraqis are paying every day, and even before that countless nations and nationalities suffering in hands of the beast called AMERICAN CORPORATISM.
Posted by: arthie | Tuesday, 12 August 2008 at 06:07 PM
Interesting article but I think there is the greater likelihood that Mikheil Saakashvili was far more aware of what he was doing than people are giving him credit for. It is implausible that he was anything less than fully aware of the build up of overwhelming Russian combat forces on his boarder and that Putin was fully intending an invasion with a contrived justification. Russia was infiltrating Geogian for years provinces and laying the ground work for causality. Seeing this, Saakashvili executed his only option and preempted the inevitable for a very good reason. If Putin had been able to unleash the Blitz he was obviously very well prepared for (far too well prepared for in fact), chances are that it would have been over and done with long before the world was able to react and there would have been no one able to challenge the claims of widespread genocide that supposedly prompted intervention. I think it is now clearly obvious that Putin fully intended to invade Georgia and that Mikheil Saakashvili forced Putin's hand prematurely in the only available gambit with a chance to save Georgia boundaries. Saakashvili needed to bring world attention to what was going on and prolong the initial stages of the invasion by mobilizing, striking first, and then executing an organized withdrawal in the face of overwhelming odds. I would be willing to bet that he had credible confirmation (from U.S. intelligence sources) that Putin had given the go to execute a plan of conquest and Georgia only beat his timeline by a day or two. Ponder this: by preempting Russia, Saakashvili had a chance to target and degrade some of the already embedded, Kremlin sponsored separatist assets, send the ethnically Russian non-indiginous civilian population running with little immediate chance of returning to ruined communities. Odd that the local Ossetian population has been growing with an inordinate number of Russian "immigrants" over several years and the local political positions are dominated by Russians backed by political thuggery. Bet you can guess what was going on. I think all other options would have resulted in a short term gain but long term loss but the option Saakashvili took was a gamble with a reasonable chance of retaining Georgia's legitimate boundaries. However, only time will tell and it is very hard for us to have a full comprehension of all the factors feeding into Saakashvili's decision to force the issue.
Posted by: Rook | Tuesday, 12 August 2008 at 06:10 PM
I stayed on top of both Western and Russian media reporting on this conflict. Obviously both painting very different pictures by omitting certain facts. Russians are focusing on reporting on humanitarian crisis in S. Ossetia and Westerners on how many Russian planes are flying over Georgia.
But very few members of media are talking of any possible criminal charges for Saakashvilli. Russians said that they are going to conduct criminal investigation is S.Osettia, but I think that they should be more loud about the known facts of the investigation. Western media almost completetely quite about Saakashvilli's actions and whether he could be tried on War crime charges just like Mislosovich and other Ugoslavians.
Posted by: From USA with Love | Tuesday, 12 August 2008 at 06:16 PM
Mr Saakashvili is a reckless idiot who was never mended by our equally reckless President, Mr. Bush. It was apparent since quite while that he was on confrontation path with Russia; however, he was never told to change his ways by Mr. Bush, NATO or any other European country. Instead, he was actually encouraged on that path. Poor Georgians will now have to pay for this idiot’s very irresponsible actions.
Posted by: La-Z Boy | Tuesday, 12 August 2008 at 06:18 PM
U.S. and the West instead of telling off the Georgian leader for his crazy,murderous impulse, instead is throwing verbal assaults at Russia. Will the U.N take action to charge Sakshavili with Genocide or must it wait for Bush's approval. Talk about Independence, when will the U.N. be Independent.
Posted by: James | Tuesday, 12 August 2008 at 06:32 PM
I'm glad the Russians saved the people of South Ossia and Abrzakia... The fool of Tblisis was a Bush's stool. Thnaks Russia!!!
Posted by: Raymond Banks | Tuesday, 12 August 2008 at 06:34 PM
Rook, "Georgia's legitimate boundaries" are willfully drawn by Josef Stalin. All boundaries in Caucasia are dictated by tyrans like Stalin and Mustafa Kemal Pasha (Ataturk). So please forget about legitimacy while talking about these borders.
Posted by: arthie | Tuesday, 12 August 2008 at 06:35 PM
There is no doubt, that Russia was planning occupation of Georgian Territories. Under the pretext of fixing railway for humanitarian purposes they Russia set a ground for swift transport of their Army and they amassed tanks even before war started. Russia was waiting for this war to happen and disinformed its own population. Georgia is not crazy to start war with Russia, Russia is punishing GEorgia for wanting to be NATO member, free country. Russian government should be sued in Tribunal for astrocities and neofascism.
Posted by: Alex | Tuesday, 12 August 2008 at 06:38 PM
I like the fact that a referendum that supposedly shows 90 percent of the breakaway provinces want independence is a basis for giving the regions independence, because the 500,000 Georgian refugees were never asked what should become of their homeland from which they were "cleansed"
Posted by: Andrew Coyne | Tuesday, 12 August 2008 at 06:39 PM