Almost every sector of the economy is in jeopardy right now. Retailers are on the brink of meltdown. Housebuilders are laying off labourers, bricklayers, and electricians. Estate agents twiddle their thumbs waiting for buyers that never walk through the door. Thousands of jobs are going in the media and banking; motor manufacturers are shutting plants for months.
So how seriously should we take CAMRA's warning that 7,500 pubs will shut by 2012?
All industries are making special pleading for Government action, and many have good cases for bailouts or action to put more money into people’s pockets to stimulate demand. But while shops, carmakers, estate agents, and builders are likely to bounce back, albeit eventually, the long-term pressures on pubs show no sign of abating.
Pubs have been hit hard by aggressive discounting of alcohol by supermarkets which seems to be accelerating, despite the multiples’ claims to be socially responsible. Eighteen bottles of premium lager for £6.99 and 45 cans of lager for £18?
Another gripe is that the Government is increasing beer duty above inflation by 2 per cent for every year until 2012.Both of these pressures are leading people to knock back booze at home, with a considerable increase in “pre-loading” – the often speedy imbibing people do at home before heading out.
Thirty-six pubs are closing every week, 18 times faster than in 2005, the British Beer and Pub Association warned in September. Then, leisure analyst Mark Brumby estimated 5,000 to 6,000 pubs would close by 2012.
Camra’s figures suggest the situation is bleaker yet for Britain’s 57,000 pubs, with local community boozers the worst affected.
Now, it must be said that the pub industry has brought some of the trouble on itself by alienating politicians with dumb anti-social behaviour.
Many of its biggest players have been happy to strip historic pubs of their character and troop drinkers into standing room-only alcohol warehouses where conversation is rendered impossible by loud music. In the past, reckless happy hour promotions have encouraged excessive (as opposed to merely heavy) drinking, with all the serious social and crime problems that brings.
The ruinously greedy pubcos - which own thousands of pubs apiece -have bled their landlords dry with such excessive rent and beer prices that the landlords are being pushed under, with potentially ruinous effects on the heavily-indebted companies themselves (watch this space).
Taking a wider historical view, though, a valued part of our heritage and culture is slipping away.
In London now, many pubs no longer serve our national beer, bitter, never mind pale ale, mild, porter, or stout that isn’t Guinness. Many have been turned into modern bars (which have their place), or had their bold Victorian interiors emulsioned into tasteful taupe or olive, and their quirky or stolid signs removed.
Still, many fine examples of characterful pubs exist, many with excellent landlords. In the capital, a few of mine are: the Cat’s Back in Putney, the Park Tavern in Kingston, and the Old Cheshire Cheese in Fleet Street. But every pub-goer has his own favourites.
At their best, pubs are important engines of social cohesion. They are rooted in the past, but also deserve a future, as one of the few remaining authentic facets of British life. Perhaps when Alistair Darling stands up to present his Pre-Budget report, he should reconsider whether he wants to squeeze more of them out of business.

For a hell of a long time now pubs have been ripping off the punters with over priced booze. The local 'irish pub' in ealing (well thats what it say's on the sign) is selling a pint at £3.30 and i will be more than happy to walk past it one day in the very near future to see its greedy doors closed.
Bring on the cheap booze at the supermarkets and the nights at home with your mates, a cheap beer and a pack of cigs and put these long-over-due greedy bastards into bankruptcy.
Good riddens !!!!!
Posted by: beer drinker | Monday, 24 November 2008 at 12:12 PM
There is no doubt that the recession is going to hit pubs hard, like many other businesses, but blaming cheap supermarket booze is a nonsense. Putting the recession to one side, pub close because they are badly run pubs. It has nothing to do with supermarket prices, the smoking ban etc. etc.
Posted by: Paul Garrard (RealAleNet) | Monday, 24 November 2008 at 01:28 PM
I find myself agreeing with the comments posted above to some degree. I also think that with a smaller number of pubs left by 2012 the atmosphere should improve in the ones left. Think about it, less pubs, more people in each, and lower drink prices?? Well that remains to be seen, as the less pubs there are, the less competition there is.
Posted by: Darron | Monday, 24 November 2008 at 07:15 PM
Obviously the drink drive laws had a major impact, but that was many years ago. Since then, the decline must be laid squarely at the door of the pub companies who could always fall back on the bricks and mortar value of their assets. There is no competition because pubs, especially in villages, are effectively monopolies. We need to get back to the individual owner run pubs that become and remain part of the local fabric. These pubs in turn can support the small, quality brewers. Government, councils and their control over taxes and planning can play a key part in the revival.
Posted by: Stewart | Tuesday, 25 November 2008 at 08:52 AM
The pressure on pubs at the moment is clear, year upon year the industry has been knocked by increased legislation and rising costs. Interfearing politicians, police chiefs and local council officials will not be happy until time is finally called in thousands of pubs up and down the country.
Does every one really want to drink a can of beer at home with a couple of friends?
Socialising is one of our great cultures and the whole fabric of our country will be deminished without the assistance that pubs and bars give.
Everybody please USE IT OR LOSE IT!!
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