There are no qualifications. The election results are dire for Labour and a triumph for the Conservatives. The Conservatives can claim much more credibly now that they are on course to win a substantial majority in a general election. David Cameron has managed to achieve this without the equivalent disaster of a Black Wednesday when Britain left the Exchange rate Mechanism, making the leap forward even more impressive.
More worrying for Labour is that there is no clear route towards rebuilding an election winning coalition of support. Listen to the banalities from ministers today and you can see how they are struggling to cope with the tide that is sweeping over them "We will listen and lead" is the most common mantra. I doubt either that the ultra Blairites will have a more convincing prescription for success when they step forward to stir the pot at some point soon. Nor will a change of leader make any difference, and could make matters worse. There is no alternative leader with the titanic qualities required to win a fourth term. Anyway a second change of leader within a year would reinforce a sense of crisis. Look at what happened to the Tories as they played that game from 1997 onwards, moving from one unsuccessful leader to another.
Much more interesting is how David Cameron will make the most of the enhanced authority he will have as a result of these elections. Brilliantly he undermined Tony Blair by supporting him. Now he savages Gordon Brown by ruthlessly opposing him. The next challenge is to make his programme for government clearer and more coherent. That will not be easy and is the main reason why the next general election is not in the bag yet for the Tories. Still Cameron embarks on the most difficult phase of his leadership in a commanding position, making his party more willing to follow rather than cause trouble.
The Liberal Democrats did well enough to suggest that they will still be a force in the coming months, not wiped out in a battle between the two bigger parties. But Nick Clegg’s ambition to double the number of seats over the next two general elections looks absurdly optimistic.

You must be disappointed that the stupid voters failed your test.
Posted by: Guido Fawkes | Friday, 02 May 2008 at 01:32 PM
Funny how so many voters are failing to make the 'connections' you said they ought to yesterday. Problem is, columnists like you are so 'sheltered in your disconnected, atomised lives that they assume things happen around them without reason'. Looks like you're beginning to recover yourself with this article Steve. Be sure to distance yourself from the Toynbees and Ashley's if you wish to remain a serious political commentator. Labour are face down in the water mate.
Posted by: Rumi | Friday, 02 May 2008 at 02:16 PM
I wonder how soon it will be that we start to see the rats jumping overboard as the NuLabour ship of state founders in a storm of its own making.
I can't wait to hear Ken blaming it all on Brown when he gets booted out of London.
Ah! Happy days! :O)
Posted by: Silent Hunter | Friday, 02 May 2008 at 04:09 PM
10 years of economi growth. With no recessions compared to record unemployment under Thacther and two recessions. I can see why the public hate the PM so much and loved Thacther so much. The same reason why some mad women go back to wife beaters.
Posted by: dirty european socialist | Friday, 02 May 2008 at 05:07 PM
I laugh at the English. You hate your working class so much you vote them out of iffice. Ken was one of the few working class English men left in government. No more white working class mayor of London. Well done BNP you must be delighted.
Posted by: dirty european socialist | Friday, 02 May 2008 at 05:10 PM
"10 years of economic growth" -- if thats so why has the gap between rich and poor got wider? why have we ever more millions on benefits?
This growth is a statistical charade. Caused by immigration. More immigration creates its own growth, but growth per head is static.
Posted by: TrevorH | Friday, 02 May 2008 at 07:13 PM
Rubbish. The gap has got narrower since 2000 so what are you on about. It was your hero Thacther who increased poverty and inequality do not manipulate the facts do argue for evil.
Posted by: dirty european socialist | Friday, 02 May 2008 at 10:27 PM