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Thursday, 24 July 2008

Another nudge

By John Rentoul

Important Ipsos-MORI poll (pdf) yesterday that didn't get reported in newspapers. Executive summary on Anthony Wells' must-read UK Polling Report. Apart from its 20-point Conservative lead, a corrective to anyone who thought it significant that this week's ICM poll showed a 5-point narrowing of the gap to 15 points, these are the numbers that might do for Gordon Brown:

19% of people say they like Cameron but not his party, with only 9% saying the opposite ... 21% of people say they like Labour but not Brown, only 11% say the opposite.

Cameron lifts his party, Brown drags his down. Labour is popular, Brown is not. Labour MPs will ponder those facts over the summer, whatever happens in Glasgow East today and in Coventry (where Labour's National Policy Forum is meeting at Warwick University, not in Warwick) over the next few days.

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It was an easy but unforgiveable mistake. The Uni of Warwick campus is within the city boundaries of Coventry. As a native I can understand why it wasn't just called the Uni of Coventry, which has always lacked charisma and middle-class appeal. Whereas Warwick.....

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