The Independent on Sunday last weekend published the results of Iain Dale’s seat-by-seat assessment of likely outcomes at the general election.
Two weekends before, we published a Poll of Pollsters, aggregating the predictions, where they were prepared to make them, of the 10 bosses of the active polling companies in Great Britain.
The weekend before that, I [...]
One or two comrades have yet to catch up with my Four-Square Rule, which is that the Conservatives need to be four points ahead in percentage share of the vote to be the largest party in the election next year. As I said on Sunday, that, rather than the point at which the Tories simply [...]
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