Election Result Pedantry, Eagle Eye

Election Result Pedantry

Three points about the 2015 general election result.
1. Members of Parliament
Conservative 331, Labour 232, SNP 56, Lib Dem 8, DUP 8, Others 11. Sinn Fein (do not take their seats) 4.
Sky News says Conservative 330, but this is because it excludes the Speaker. It makes more sense to include him in the Conservative total (see [...]

By | Eagle Eye | Sunday, 10 May 2015 at 4:03 pm

Kellner’s Law rewritten, Eagle Eye

Kellner’s Law rewritten

Just as I thought I had got the Four Square Rule firmly imprinted on my brain – that the Conservatives need to be four points ahead in share of the vote to be the largest party at the election next year – Peter Kellner returns from another trip up the mountain with a new tablet.
He has [...]

By | Eagle Eye | Monday, 16 June 2014 at 5:14 pm

Who will win the next election? Some lessons from history, Eagle Eye

Who will win the next election? Some lessons from history

This General Election is shaping up to be one of those squeakers that no-one can forecast with any confidence.

By | Eagle Eye | Wednesday, 7 May 2014 at 10:04 am

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