It could be Tristram Hunt, I suggest in The Independent on Sunday today. He has had a remarkable seven days.
My record of prediction in such matters is not good, often confusing what should happen with what will happen, and several correspondents have pointed out that it is quite unlikely that Labour will change leader before [...]
Among several important findings of our ComRes poll for The Independent on Sunday this week (here and here), was one figure that explains much of the uncertainty that surrounds Labour’s nine-point lead (and an average seven points, taking the most recent findings of six pollsters):
Fewer than half, 46 per cent, of Labour voters agree that [...]
I was brought up short by Simon Landau yesterday. He asked, of my column for The Independent the day before.
Further to my blog post about the next leader of the Labour Party last weekend, some of the attendees of the Peter Mandelson Memorial Dim Sum Lunch have given the matter more thought.
The Peter Mandelson Memorial Dim Sum Lunch took place a little late this year. This was a gathering that started on 23 December 1998, when Mandelson first resigned from the Cabinet. By coincidence, the same group of my friends were lunching just after Christmas two years later, on 24 January 2001, when Mandelson resigned again.
Nice exchange between Andrew Marr and Ed Balls this morning:
Some people are worried that there is going to be a kind of mimicry of the tensions between Gordon Brown and Tony Blair in the old days; that there is something in the chemistry between the two of you that is not entirely stable?
My column for The Independent on Sunday on the relationship between Labour leader and Shadow Chancellor is on the new Indy Voices part of the website. This blog will become part of this brave new world shortly, so “bear with”, as Miranda’s mother says, as we try to improve the customer experience.
By way of footnotes [...]
Our ComRes opinion poll in The Independent on Sunday and Sunday Mirror tomorrow suggests that Labour would do better if David Miliband were leader — although the difference is only three points.
The normal voting intentions (how would you vote if there were a general election tomorrow) are:
Conservative 38% +2
Labour 38% [...]
The YouGov poll for The Sunday Times (pdf) has findings on which of five MPs people think would “make the best Labour leader”:
David Miliband 21%
Alistair Darling 9%
Ed Miliband 7%
Ed Balls 6%
Yvette Cooper 4%
None of them would be any good 32%
Don’t know 21%
Yes, well. Apart from the obvious, this poll reminds us again of one of [...]
Some remarkable opinion poll numbers in today’s YouGov poll, which are not reported by The Sunday Times, apart from one line in Martin Ivens’s column, in which he says (pay wall):
Our YouGov poll today puts the opposition just ahead of the Conservatives, but more people think even the luckless Nick Clegg is doing better than [...]
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