To try to impress the new editor I have three articles in The Independent on Sunday today.
In the political column I suggest that the local election results on Thursday were not good enough to give Labour any confidence of winning a majority at the next general election.
This is partly on the grounds that the UKIP [...]
Mark Pack, the excellent Lib Dem blogger, pointed this out yesterday, but it took a while for me to make sense of the figures. He compared the BBC’s Projected National Share of the vote for this week’s local elections with last year’s local elections.*
_________ 2012 2013 Change
Conservative 31% 25% -6
What we do not know about yesterday’s local elections is how many UKIP voters will go, or go back, to the Conservatives when they are warned that a vote for Nigel Farage will let Ed Miliband into Downing Street.
But we can say this much. The early BBC estimates for the change in vote share in [...]
In the aftermath of the historically poor results in the European and local elections, and with the prospects for the general election bleak, Labour MPs face a critical choice this evening; a dilemma on which their careers, the future of the Labour Party, and the future of the country may turn: should Gordon stay or [...]
With the Labour Party languishing in the latest set of polls – recording in one poll its lowest rating since opinion polls began in the 1940s – a third place finish looming in next month’s local and European elections, and rumours of a challenge to Gordon Brown’s leadership building in Westminster, what should the Labour [...]
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