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Another straw breaks over Scotland, Eagle Eye

Another straw breaks over Scotland

After the YouGov and Panelbase opinion polls on Sunday, there were still straws at which those who want to keep the union could clutch. We could not say it was “just one poll”, but we could say that it was “just one polling company”, namely YouGov, that had showed support for a Yes vote surging.
That [...]

By | Eagle Eye | Tuesday, 9 September 2014 at 12:01 am

The Scottish independence gender gap in full, Eagle Eye

The Scottish independence gender gap in full

While we wait for YouGov’s next Scottish referendum poll for The Sunday Times tonight, here is my pull-together of data on the gender gap.
We wrote about it in The Independent on Sunday a year ago, when the gender gap in the three most recent polls (YouGov, Angus Reid and TNS) averaged 12 percentage points.
This means that [...]

By | Eagle Eye | Saturday, 6 September 2014 at 1:52 pm

Poll alert, Eagle Eye

Poll alert

We have a ComRes opinion poll in tomorrow’s Independent on Sunday, shared with the Sunday Mirror.
Last month Labour had a three-point lead. This month we have resumed our Favourability Index, asking if people have a favourable or unfavourable view of:
• five parties, including the Scottish National Party, now that we are into the final month of [...]

By | Eagle Eye | Saturday, 23 August 2014 at 10:10 am

Voters say women promoted for “presentational reasons”, Eagle Eye

Voters say women promoted for “presentational reasons”

Voters are sceptical about the Government reshuffle, according to a ComRes poll for The Independent on Sunday and the Sunday Mirror.
Most people, 56 per cent, said women were promoted for “presentational reasons” and only 24 per cent said women were promoted “on merit”. Overall, only 20 per cent said the reshuffle improved my view of [...]

By | Eagle Eye | Saturday, 19 July 2014 at 7:30 pm

Poll alert, Eagle Eye

Poll alert

We have a ComRes opinion poll in The Independent on Sunday tomorrow, shared with the Sunday Mirror.
In addition to asking people how they intend to vote, we asked if people agree or disagreed with the following statements:
Politicians have probably covered up child sex abuse by other senior politicians in the past
Allegations of child sex abuse [...]

By | Eagle Eye | Saturday, 19 July 2014 at 10:33 am

Prince William more popular than Queen, Eagle Eye

Prince William more popular than Queen

Prince William is more popular than the Queen, according to a ComRes poll for tomorrow’s Independent on Sunday, shared with the Sunday Mirror. Prince Charles is less favourably regarded, being only a little more popular than Boris Johnson, the highest-scoring politician on the list.
The poll puts Labour’s lead over the Conservatives at two points, the [...]

By | Eagle Eye | Saturday, 14 June 2014 at 7:31 pm

Poll alert, Eagle Eye

Poll alert

We have a ComRes opinion poll in The Independent on Sunday tomorrow, shared with the Sunday Mirror. As well as asking people how they would vote in a general election, we have re-run the Favourability Index, asking whether people have a favourable or unfavourable view of leading politicians and, this week, three members of the [...]

By | Eagle Eye | Saturday, 14 June 2014 at 11:09 am

Chuka Umunna vs Yvette Cooper for Labour leadership, Eagle Eye

Chuka Umunna vs Yvette Cooper for Labour leadership

Survation carried out an unusual poll for the Mail on Sunday, asking people to watch a one-minute video of five possible Labour leaders and then to answer questions about them. The figures given in the newspaper are for respondents who voted Labour in 2010;* I would have thought we were more interested in the views [...]

By | Eagle Eye | Tuesday, 27 May 2014 at 10:32 am

ComRes “Battlebus” poll for The Independent points to Cameron holding on as PM next year, Eagle Eye

ComRes “Battlebus” poll for The Independent points to Cameron holding on as PM next year

In The Independent tomorrow, ComRes launches a new “Battlebus” poll in 40 of the most marginal Conservative-Labour seats.
The figures are:
Con  33% (-4)
Lab  35% (-2)
LibDem  8% (-10)
UKIP  17% (+14)
Other  7% (+2)
Figures in brackets show changes since the 2010 general election results across the constituencies. These are the numbers to focus on. Labour is doing better than [...]

By | Eagle Eye | Tuesday, 20 May 2014 at 10:30 pm

UKIP hold record 11-point lead in European election, Eagle Eye

UKIP hold record 11-point lead in European election

The UK Independence Party is heading for victory in next week’s European Parliament election, with the support of 35% of those who say they are “absolutely certain to vote”, according to a ComRes opinion poll for The Independent on Sunday, shared with the Sunday Mirror. This equals the record 11-point lead for UKIP reported by [...]

By | Eagle Eye | Saturday, 17 May 2014 at 7:25 pm

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