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League table of Prime Ministers, Eagle Eye

League table of Prime Ministers

ComRes carried out a poll of prime ministers since 1964 for The Independent on Sunday last weekend, using a simple “favourable or unfavourable view” question. The last time we did this, in February last year, we asked the question a different way, asking people to rate prime ministers as better or worse than David Cameron.
Last [...]

By | Eagle Eye | Wednesday, 16 April 2014 at 2:26 pm

UKIP at record high, Lib Dems at record low, Eagle Eye

UKIP at record high, Lib Dems at record low

Nigel Farage’s party has scored its highest poll rating yet in a ComRes poll, for The Independent on Sunday and Sunday Mirror tomorrow. Labour’s lead has increased to six points as Conservative support falls:
Conservative 29% (-3)
Labour 35% (0)
Lib Dem 7% [...]

By | Eagle Eye | Saturday, 12 April 2014 at 7:29 pm

Labour’s Vanishing Lead, Eagle Eye

Labour’s Vanishing Lead

We now have three different attempts to quantify the average movement of opinion polls in the last year or so before British general elections.
Here are Leo Barasi’s new calculations. His rule for the polls a year before an election is: halve the lead (of whichever party) and then move the lead 3½ points in the governing [...]

By | Eagle Eye | Saturday, 12 April 2014 at 5:34 pm

Poll alert, Eagle Eye

Poll alert

We have a ComRes opinion poll in The Independent on Sunday tomorrow, shared with the Sunday Mirror. I don’t want to give anything away, but a record has been broken.
As well as asking how people would vote in the general election, we have resumed our Favourability Index, asking about the four party leaders, George Osborne, [...]

By | Eagle Eye | Saturday, 12 April 2014 at 12:54 pm

What “everyone knows” is wrong: the Budget was popular with young people, Eagle Eye

What “everyone knows” is wrong: the Budget was popular with young people

Everyone knows that George Osborne designed the Budget to help repulse the UKIP threat to older once-Tory voters, especially working-class ones. What is more, it succeeded. Recent polls by ComRes, YouGov and Populus have seen Labour’s lead cut.
All hail the political genius of the Chancellor.
Except that it is not so.
The brilliant Leo Barasi points out [...]

By | Eagle Eye | Friday, 28 March 2014 at 12:17 pm

Heading for a Hung Parliament?, Eagle Eye

Heading for a Hung Parliament?

I am grateful to Electoral Calculus for producing a special version of its Polling Chart of Everything, showing the history of party support this parliament, as measured by ComRes for The Independent and The Independent on Sunday (the average of the company’s two series, telephone polls for The Independent and online polls for The Independent [...]

By | Eagle Eye | Tuesday, 25 March 2014 at 4:23 pm

UKIP leading in Euro elections race, Eagle Eye

UKIP leading in Euro elections race

The UK Independence Party is on course to win the largest share of the vote in the European Parliament elections in May, according to a ComRes opinion poll for The Independent on Sunday and Sunday Mirror.
UKIP 30% (+3)
Lab 28% (+5)
Con [...]

By | Eagle Eye | Saturday, 15 March 2014 at 7:27 pm

Poll alert, Eagle Eye

Poll alert

We have a ComRes opinion poll in The Independent on Sunday tomorrow, shared with the Sunday Mirror. Several recent polls have suggested a tightening of the Labour lead (ICM three points, Ipsos MORI three points, YouGov five points, Populus one point), so it will be interesting to see what ComRes’s online series has to say.
Also, we [...]

By | Eagle Eye | Saturday, 15 March 2014 at 11:51 am

Blow to UKIP in ComRes Poll, Eagle Eye

Blow to UKIP in ComRes Poll

UKIP has dropped four points in the latest ComRes opinion poll for tomorrow’s Independent on Sunday, shared with the Sunday Mirror. And UKIP, which was the most favourably viewed party last month, has fallen behind Labour and the Conservatives in our Favourability Index.
Con 32% (+2)
Lab [...]

By | Eagle Eye | Saturday, 15 February 2014 at 7:28 pm

Poll alert, Eagle Eye

Poll alert

We have a ComRes opinion poll in The Independent on Sunday tomorrow, shared with the Sunday Mirror. As well asking people how they would vote in a general election, we have repeated our Favourability Index, asking if people have a “favourable or unfavourable view” of the four main parties and their leaders. This month we [...]

By | Eagle Eye | Saturday, 15 February 2014 at 10:41 am

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