Those UKIP Polls of Swing Seats, Eagle Eye

Those UKIP Polls of Swing Seats

I still haven’t had a chance to look closely at the Survation polls of marginal seats carried out for Alan Bown, a UKIP donor. I commented on them last week, and today Survation has published polls in four more constituencies, while Bown has taken out a full-page advertisement in The Daily Telegraph (pictured) making the [...]

By | Eagle Eye | Tuesday, 17 December 2013 at 6:14 pm

The UKIP Effect, Eagle Eye

The UKIP Effect

I have in the past been at the unexciteable end of the market on UKIP’s impact on the next election. I am also generally sceptical about polls carried out in marginal seats: in the past, national polling and uniform swing has tended to be a better predictor of national outcomes. But the publication of the [...]

By | Eagle Eye | Wednesday, 4 December 2013 at 5:47 pm

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