Make your own North Carolina prediction
Just fill in the values in yellow.
With so much hanging on the outcome in North Carolina The Atlantic's Marc Ambinder
points out that black voters will make up at least 35% of Tuesday's
voter. Obama leads Clinton
by four points and Clinton looks set to grab some 60% of the white vote
and may even double the percentage of the black vote she has been
getting (17%). Clinton has
already gone from leading among black
voters to losing them 90% to 10% recently in
Pennsylvania. It's hard to tell if this total collapse in black support
for Hillary will continue or whether a combination of a poor turnout
and black disillusionment will play to her advantage.
Mason Dixon's most recent poll, gives Obama 87% of the
black vote where blacks make up around 40% of
the total and Clinton about 60% of the white vote. Take one of Ambinder's scenarios and generously give give Clinton 17% of the
black vote and 63% of the white vote and assume that black
voters make up 35% of the electorate. Obama wins by 8 points.
Award Clinton 65% of the white vote and 18 percent of the black vote, and assume that disillusioned black voters tmake up only 29% of the electorate. Clinton wins.
That is what the Clinton camp calls a "Gamechanger" and all bets are off for the nomination
Jacksmith
If you believe that you are qualified to be a heart surgeon simply because your husband/wife was a heart surgeon, you might be an idiot. Conversely if you think that Hilary Clinton is qualified to be president simply because she was a former first lady, then you might be an idiot. Correct me if I'm wrong but I believe her so-called health plan in 1993 was an unmitigated disaster.
Do you have any comments about her threat to 'obliterate Iran' if the Iranians attacked Israel with nuclear weapons? This is despite the fact there is no evidence to suggest that Iran has nuclear weapons. It would seem that she went to the same school of gun boat diplomacy as did George W Bush (jnr). Is that your definition of what makes Clinton qualified to be president?
Posted by: Bayo Adetona | 07 May 2008 at 04:55 PM
HILLARY CLINTON CAN BEST WIN IN NOVEMBER:
It's time for everyone to face the truth. Barack Obama has no real chance of winning the national election in November at this time. His crushing defeat in Pennsylvania makes that fact crystal clear. His best, and only real chance of winning in November is on a ticket with Hillary Clinton as her VP.
Hillary Clinton seemed almost somber at her Pennsylvania victory speech. As if part of her was hoping Obama could have proved he had some chance of winning against the republican attack machine, and their unlimited money, and resources.
But it is absolutely essential that the democrats take back the Whitehouse in November. America, and the American people are in a very desperate condition now. And the whole World has been doing all that they can to help keep us propped up.
Hillary Clinton say's that the heat, and decisions in the Whitehouse are much tougher than the ones on the campaign trail. But I think Mr. Obama faces a test of whether he has what it takes to be a commander and chief by facing the difficult facts, and the truth before him. And by doing what is best for the American people by dropping out of the race, and offering his whole hearted assistance to Hillary Clinton to help her take back the Whitehouse for the American people, and the World.
Mr. Obama is a great speaker. And I am confident he can explain to the American people the need, and wisdom of such a personal sacrifice for them. It should be clear to everyone by now that Hillary Clinton is fighting her heart out for the American people. She has known for a long time that Mr. Obama can not win this November. You have to remember that the Clinton's have won the Whitehouse twice before. They know what it takes.
If Mr. Obama fails his test of commander and chief we can only hope that Hillary Clinton can continue her heroic fight for the American people. And that she prevails. She will need all the continual support and help we can give her. She may fight like a superhuman. But she is only human.
Sen. Hillary Clinton: "You know, more people have now voted for me than have voted for my opponent. In fact, I now have more votes than anybody has ever had in a primary contest for a nomination. And it's also clear that we've got nine more important contests to go."
Sincerely
Jacksmith... Working Class :-)
Posted by: jacksmith | 06 May 2008 at 08:32 AM
If Mrs Clinton had queried the question "If Iran attacked Israel withe Nuclear Weapons?" Instead of answering "I would Obliterate them!" Then she would have shown some intellect !
Surely she is aware that a nuclear attack on Israel would kill a lot of people who were not Israelis - Also, Jordan, Lebanon,Syria, Egypt would have casualties. Of course she could have also questioned " Have Iran got nuclear weapons?
Has she a mindset of a warmonger like Geo Bush.
Posted by: Richard Donaldson-Alves | 06 May 2008 at 12:30 AM
If Mrs Clinton had queried the question "If Iran attacked Israel withe Nuclear Weapons?" Instead of answering "I would Obliterate them!" Then she would have shown some intellect !
Surely she is aware that a nuclear attack on Israel would kill a lot of people who were not Israelis - Also, Jordan, Lebanon,Syria, Egypt would have casualties. Of course she could have also questioned " Have Iran got nuclear weapons?
Has she a mindset of a warmonger like Geo Bush.
Posted by: Richard Donaldson-Alves | 06 May 2008 at 12:28 AM